SpaceX, Anthropic, and the Danger of IPO Euphoria

The SpaceX (symbol: SPCX) initial public offering (IPO) arrived on Friday with historic scale and an equally historic level of enthusiasm. Within hours of listing, the company approached a $2 trillion valuation, placing it among the world’s largest companies almost instantly.

The stock was priced at $135 and closed its first day of trading near $161, a respectable one-day gain of over 19%. By most measures, the launch was a success.

There’s no question that SpaceX is a remarkable business. The combination of Starlink’s recurring revenue, reusable rocket technology, and its expanding ambitions in artificial intelligence and orbital infrastructure makes it one of the most ambitious enterprises ever brought to public markets.

But investors need to separate two things that often get conflated during moments like this: a great company and a great investment at today’s price.

At over 100x sales, the current valuation embeds not just success, but near-perfection.

What You’re Really BuyingForm S-1 is the basic SEC “go public” document that a company must file before an IPO, laying out its business, finances, risks, and how it plans to use the money raised so investors can decide whether to buy the stock.

A closer look at the SpaceX Form S-1 tells a nuanced story. SpaceX today is effectively three businesses layered together:

  • A strong core: Starlink, generating high-margin, recurring revenue
  • A proven enabler: reusable rockets lowering the cost of space access
  • A set of long-dated bets: Artificial Intelligence, orbital data centers, and space commercialization

A reasonable sum-of-the-parts framework might justify a valuation closer to $1–$1.1 trillion, even after applying a generous premium for Elon Musk’s track record. The gap between that and the IPO valuation represents something very important: a priced-in call option on the future of space itself.

Roughly 30–40% of the valuation is tied not to current earnings power, but to outcomes that may take a decade or longer to materialize, if they materialize at all.

That is not speculation in a negative sense, but it is speculation nonetheless.

The IPO Reality: Liquidity Event First

Only about 4% of shares were floated (offered) in the IPO. The rest remain with insiders, employees, and early investors, many of whom are sitting on enormous gains.

This matters.

The IPO is not primarily about funding rockets. It is, in large part, a liquidity event that allows early stakeholders to sell into peak demand. Public investors are stepping in at a point where much of the value creation has already occurred in private markets.

History shows this is rarely where the best risk/reward entry point exists.

Mega-IPOs and Market History

The pattern is consistent:

  • The largest, most anticipated IPOs tend to debut at elevated valuations
  • Early trading is driven by constrained supply and heavy demand
  • Over time, as stock lock-ups expire and supply increases, prices often normalize

Recent IPO examples reinforce this:

  • Rivian: down ~80% from early highs
  • Coupang: down more than 50%
  • Lineage Logistics: Down about 50% within two years
  • Several recent large IPOs are still below listing prices

Even the “winners” like Airbnb and Snowflake have delivered flat-to-negative returns for investors who bought on day one.

In fact, the majority of recent mega-IPOs have traded below their initial listing price within a year.

Even successful long-term companies often struggle after going public. Tesla, for example, went essentially nowhere for years after its IPO before eventually delivering outsized returns. Facebook also traded below its offering price for an extended period before recovering.

This does not mean SpaceX will fail. It means that the entry price matters.

The key takeaway: timing and valuation matter just as much as the quality of the business.

The Supply-Demand Illusion

Early trading in IPOs can be misleading.

With such a small percentage of shares available, supply is artificially constrained. At the same time, demand is amplified by media coverage, retail enthusiasm, and, in some cases, forced buying from index funds. Underwriters have a vested interest in a successful IPO, so they’ll support the stock price by buying shares for the first few days after the IPO.

This imbalance can push prices higher in the short term, but it is not sustainable. As lock-up periods expire and more shares become available, supply increases significantly, often putting downward pressure on prices.

Tesla, SpaceX, and the Merger Question

One of the most discussed topics right now is a potential merger between Tesla and SpaceX.

Based on the Form S-1, there is no indication that such discussions have occurred at the board level. From a legal and disclosure standpoint, that strongly suggests any transaction, if it were ever considered, is likely years away, not imminent.

That said, the relationship between the companies is real and growing:

  • Tesla supplied over $500 million in energy infrastructure to SpaceX’s AI operations
  • Joint initiatives include chip development and AI-driven systems
  • Tesla has already taken a stake in SpaceX

These are meaningful commercial ties, but they do not equate to a pending merger. For now, think strategic partnership, not consolidation.

Index Inclusion: A Hidden Driver

Another overlooked dynamic is how quickly SpaceX could be added to major indexes.

Nasdaq’s new “fast entry” rules could force inclusion into the Nasdaq-100 within weeks, potentially driving billions in passive buying. At the same time, S&P maintains stricter profitability and seasoning requirements, which could delay inclusion there.

This creates a new dynamic:

  • Short-term demand driven by index flows
  • Long-term uncertainty around sustained institutional ownership

It also raises a broader issue: index rules themselves are evolving in response to companies like SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI.

Despite its size, SpaceX is not immediately eligible for inclusion in the S&P 500 index due to profitability and trading history requirements. While some indexes may add it quickly, others will not. That distinction matters, as index inclusion can drive substantial institutional demand.

Investors should not assume automatic or immediate support from passive investment flows.

Sector Classification Matters More Than You Think

The S&P 500 is divided into eleven sectors, each with different “weights” in the index. Where SpaceX ultimately lands, Communication Services, Industrials, or even a revised sector structure, will influence how capital flows into the stock.

  • The Communication Services sector is the most likely home, driven by Starlink
  • The Industrials sector reflects legacy aerospace perception
  • The Technology sector is possible, but would further concentrate an already dominant sector

This is not just academic. Sector placement affects ETF and mutual fund flows, institutional allocations, and ultimately valuation support.

A Broader Message for Upcoming IPOs (Including Anthropic and Open AI)

What we are seeing with SpaceX is not an isolated event. It is part of a broader trend:

  • Larger companies are staying private longer
  • Public investors are gaining access later in the lifecycle
  • Valuations reflecting peak optimism at the point of entry

We are seeing similar enthusiasm building around other potential IPOs, including companies like Anthropic and OpenAI. Anthropic, OpenAI, and other AI-driven IPOs are likely to follow a pattern similar to SpaceX’s.

This is a recurring cycle in the markets. Investors become eager to “get in early” on transformative companies, fearing they may miss the next Amazon or Google. But by the time a company reaches the public markets today, much of the explosive growth has already occurred in private hands.

The public market often receives a more mature company, at a valuation that already reflects high expectations.

The risk is not that these companies are poor businesses. The risk is overpaying at the moment of maximum narrative strength.

A More Disciplined Approach

None of this suggests avoiding these companies altogether. SpaceX may very well be a dominant force for decades. The same could be true for leading AI firms.

However, discipline is critical:

  • Avoid chasing first or second day excitement
  • Let valuations normalize over time
  • Watch how the stock behaves after lock-up periods lapse
  • Focus on risk-adjusted entry points rather than headlines

There is often a far greater opportunity after the initial hype fades and price discovery becomes more grounded.

Final Thought: Patience Over Participation

The most important question is not whether SpaceX succeeds. It very well may.

The question is whether buying into the initial excitement offers a favorable risk/reward tradeoff.

History suggests that it rarely does.

There will likely be a time when SpaceX, or companies like Anthropic, offer compelling entry points. Those opportunities tend to emerge after the hype fades, after supply increases, and after valuations are tested by reality.

Until then, discipline matters more than enthusiasm.

Although the fear of missing out is a powerful motivator, there is another saying in the investing and trading business:

It’s better to be out of a stock and wishing you were in, than being in a stock wishing you were out.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

What’s Going on in the Markets-May 31, 2026

It’s the end of May, and stock markets continue to demonstrate remarkable strength. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes both reached record highs on the last trading day of the month (Friday), capping off a powerful May in which major indices gained between 2.5% and 11%. Notably, only Bitcoin and gold declined during the month, and year-to-date, Bitcoin remains the only major asset class down double digits, while bonds are modestly negative.

Since the March 30 intraday low, the S&P 500 index has rallied approximately 20%, marking the strongest nine-week winning streak on record. While last week’s gains were relatively modest, they were sufficient to extend this historic run.

Thanks for reading Uncommon Cents! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

A Rare and Powerful Rally

This type of sustained advance is uncommon. Since 1950, there have only been 10 similar streaks, and just two in this century. Historically, these periods are often followed by short-term consolidation (sideways movement), typically driven more by marking time and sector rotation than by sharp price declines.

More importantly, forward returns following these streaks, over periods ranging from one month to one year, have generally been positive. These types of environments have not typically marked major market tops or the beginning of bear (downtrending) markets.

That said, it is reasonable to expect a near-term pause, pullback, or correction. After such an extended run, some degree of consolidation would be healthy. This should not be confused with an imminent bear market; longer-term conditions still support higher equity prices, and I expect the indexes will be higher by year’s end.

Liquidity, Artificial Intelligence, and Expanding Opportunity

Several structural forces continue to underpin the market:

  • Artificial intelligence remains a dominant investment theme, driving capital spending, earnings growth, and investor enthusiasm.
  • A wave of high-profile IPOs, including SpaceX and Anthropic, has the potential to attract new capital to public markets.
  • Corporate earnings have broadly exceeded expectations, reinforcing confidence in equity valuations.

At the same time, speculative behavior has re-emerged. Recent trading activity suggests increased risk-taking, with rapid money rotations between stocks and heightened momentum-driven flows. This reflects abundant liquidity but also introduces fragility if sentiment shifts.

The Macroeconomic Backdrop: Mixed Signals

While markets are strong, economic data presents a more nuanced picture:

  • New home sales declined 6.2% month-over-month, with inventory rising to a 9.4-month supply, well above the 4–6-month range considered balanced. Affordability remains a key constraint.
  • Consumer confidence edged lower, with households increasingly reducing discretionary spending and delaying large purchases.
  • Inflation, as measured by the PCE Index (Personal Consumption Expenditures), is re-accelerating. Headline PCE rose to 3.8% year-over-year, while core PCE (which measures the prices U.S. consumers pay for goods and services excluding food and energy) increased to 3.3%, both well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Consumer sentiment just hit an all-time low of 44.8 in May, with current conditions and future expectations both collapsing to record pessimism.

This is the first time since 1953 that all three (overall, current, and future) sentiment measures have simultaneously set new lows, making today’s mood historically bad. Consumers feel worse about both their present situation and their outlook than at any point in roughly 75 years of data. They’re especially worried about long-run inflation, the rising cost of living, and deteriorating personal finances. If these attitudes lead households to cut back on spending, it could weigh meaningfully on the U.S. economy and, eventually, on stock prices.

These divergences highlight an important principle: the economy and the stock market often move on different timelines. While portions of the economy, particularly lower- and middle-income consumers, are under pressure, corporate earnings and investment, especially in artificial intelligence, remain robust.

The Federal Reserve: No Immediate Safety Net

Markets have, at times, relied on the assumption of a “Federal Reserve Put”, the idea that policymakers will step in to support asset prices during periods of weakness. That assumption is less reliable today.

With inflation still elevated and the labor market relatively stable, the Federal Reserve has limited flexibility to cut rates aggressively. Any expectation of rapid easing may be premature. As a result, markets could be vulnerable to disappointment if policy remains tighter for longer. A small rate hike in the next 12 months would not be surprising if inflation remains sticky.

The new Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Warsh, has his work cut out for him.

Oil, Geopolitics, and Expectations

Recent declines in oil prices have supported stocks by easing inflation concerns and lowering yields. Much of this optimism is tied to expectations of a potential U.S.–Iran agreement and increased global energy supplies.

However, markets may have already priced in much of this positive outcome. If oil prices stabilize or decline less than expected, or if geopolitical developments take longer to materialize, equities could face a “sell-the-news” reaction.

The Week Ahead: A Critical Test

The coming week is dense with catalysts and could set the tone for the market’s next phase.

1. May 2026 Monthly Jobs Report (Friday June 5)

Economists expect approximately 90,000 new jobs, with an unemployment rate near 4.3%. Markets are looking for a “Goldilocks” outcome-a strong enough to confirm economic stability, but not so strong that it reignites inflation concerns or pushes interest rates higher.

2. AI Conferences and Commentary

Events such as Computex Taipei, Microsoft Build, and the Snowflake Summit will keep AI at the forefront. Investors will be watching for signs that demand is broadening beyond semiconductors into software, infrastructure, and enterprise applications.

3. Federal Reserve Signals

Federal Reserve speakers and the Beige Book will provide insight into inflation, labor markets, and regional economic conditions. Any shift toward a more hawkish tone could challenge current market optimism.

4. Key Earnings Reports

Companies reporting earnings this week include Broadcom, CrowdStrike, Hewlett Packard Enterprises, Medtronic, Palo Alto Networks, and several major retailers (see below). These results will help determine whether earnings strength is broad-based or still concentrated in a narrow group of leaders.

5. Consumer Health Indicators

Retail earnings and updates, including from Dollar General, Ollie’s, Signet Jewelers, Victoria’s Secret, Macy’s, Ulta Beauty, Five Below, and Lululemon, will offer a clearer picture of consumer behavior. Spending remains intact but increasingly selective.

What Matters Most Now

The market remains in a bullish uptrend, supported by earnings growth, AI-driven investment, and resilient economic activity. However, conditions are becoming more balanced:

  • Valuations are higher.
  • Expectations are elevated.
  • Positioning is more crowded, particularly in technology and AI-related names.

For the rally to continue, incoming data must validate current optimism. That means stable employment, contained interest rates, and continued strength in earnings and AI demand.

Bottom Line

The primary question is no longer whether the market is strong—it clearly is. The more important question is whether it can sustain that strength amid a heavy calendar of economic data, policy signals, and corporate results.

If markets continue to absorb news constructively, maintain leadership, and attract buyers on pullbacks, the path higher remains intact. However, if positive developments trigger selling, or if interest rates rise, it would signal a transition from momentum-driven gains to a period of consolidation.

Investors should be prepared for near-term volatility while recognizing that the broader trend remains quite constructive.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

What’s Going on in the Markets May 17, 2026

Editor’s Note: This is a reposting of a video that mysteriously disappeared from May 17 2026.

What’s really driving this stock market surge, and can it keep going? View my short video here.

In this week’s update, I break down the powerful rally we’ve seen since the March 30th lows, with the S&P 500 up 18% and the NASDAQ soaring 28% in just a month and a half. Earnings have been nothing short of impressive, with nearly 90% of companies reporting strong results. But there’s a twist: inflation is starting to creep back up, and that could change the Fed’s next move on interest rates.

I’ll walk you through what this combination of strong earnings and rising inflation means for your portfolio, why I expect some short-term “backing and filling” after this parabolic run, and why I still believe 2026 is shaping up to deliver solid double-digit stock market returns. 

If you want a clear, no-nonsense view of where the market stands right now and where it may be headed next, you’ll find this video worth your time.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

Mandatory Roth Catch-Up Contributions Begin in 2026

For nearly a quarter century, employers have offered their retirement savings plan participants age 50 and older a valuable opportunity: the chance to make additional catch-up contributions to their plans.¹

Thanks to the SECURE 2.0 Act passed in 2022, that opportunity became even more valuable: Employers may now allow plan participants aged 60 to 63 to contribute more than their other catch-up-eligible peers through “super catch-ups.”

In 2025, the standard plan contribution limit was $23,500. Participants ages 50 to 59 and 64 and older in 2025 can contribute an additional $7,500, while those ages 60 to 63 can contribute an additional $11,250.

However, SECURE 2.0 also included a provision requiring catch-up contributions to be made on a Roth basis for certain high-earning employees. In September 2025, the IRS issued final regulations on these mandatory Roth catch-ups, which will take effect this year.

The Big Picture

In most work-based savings plans, employees can make catch-up contributions and contribute on both a pre-tax and a Roth after-tax basis.² While pre-tax contributions reduce the proportion of a participant’s paycheck that is subject to current income taxes, Roth contributions allow participants to potentially build a tax-free nest egg for the future. Withdrawals from Roth accounts made after the account owner reaches age 59½ are tax-free, provided the account has been held for at least five years; other exceptions apply.

Pre-tax contributions can be especially appealing to high earners, who may contribute as much as possible (up to plan limits) to maximize the opportunity to reduce current taxable income.

However, pre-tax contributions also reduce federal tax revenue. That may be why legislators included a provision in SECURE 2.0 requiring catch-up contributions for those earning more than $145,000 to be made on a Roth (post-tax), rather than a pre-tax basis. Initially slated to take effect in 2024, that provision was delayed until 2026 to allow the IRS to finalize rules and employers to modify their systems and plan documentation accordingly.³

The Details

In September 2025, the IRS issued final regulations stating that the new requirements generally apply to contributions in taxable years beginning after December 31, 2026. The IRS further stated, “The final regulations also permit plans to implement the Roth catch-up requirement for taxable years beginning before 2027 using a reasonable, good faith interpretation of statutory provisions.”⁴ Many industry observers interpret this language to mean that employers will be expected to begin implementing the new provisions in 2026.⁵ ⁷

To determine whether an employee exceeds the $145,000 threshold, employers will use Federal Insurance Contributions Act (FICA) wages listed in box 3 of the employee’s W-2 form from the previous year. In other words, to comply in 2026, employers will use 2025 W-2 forms. The rule does not apply to those who do not have prior-year W-2 wages, such as the self-employed.⁶ ⁸

The new rule applies to standard and super catch-ups in 401(k), 403(b), and 457(b) plans; however, the new Roth mandate does not apply to SIMPLE plans or the special catch-up contributions permitted in 403(b) and 457(b) plans. Plans that do not offer Roth contributions must either add a Roth feature or disallow high earners from making catch-up contributions.⁷ ⁹ ¹¹

Tax and Retirement-Savings Impacts

High earners who may be subject to the new rule might want to review their tax-planning and retirement-savings strategies soon. Although Roth contributions can provide substantial tax benefits in the future, eliminating the pre-tax catch-up contribution could have a surprising impact on income tax planning during the 2026 tax-filing season.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

1) CNBC, January 4, 2017
2) PLANADVISER, October 1, 2025
3) IRS Notice 2023-62
4) IRS, September 15, 2025
5) Society for Human Resource Management, accessed October 2, 2025
6, 8) Plan Sponsor Council of America, September 30, 2025
7, 9, 10) Slott Report, September 22, 2025
11) ADP SPARK blog, accessed October 2, 2025

New Year, New Account: How the 2026 Kids’ IRA Could Jump‑Start Your Child’s Retirement Savings

Beginning in 2026, a new type of tax-advantaged account for children, informally called “Trump accounts”, will become available. These are a special version of traditional IRAs designed to give kids an early head start on long-term retirement investing, with seed money from the federal government and, in some cases, additional funding from private donors.

Important: Rules are new and still evolving. Final forms, portals, and implementation details may change before these accounts launch. This overview is for general information only and is not personal tax or investment advice.

What is a Trump Account?

  • A Trump account is essentially a traditional IRA for a child under age 18 who has a Social Security number.
  • The accounts were created under the federal “One Big Beautiful Bill” and will take effect for tax years beginning in 2026.
  • Although they follow many of the same tax rules as traditional IRAs, there are essential differences in who can contribute, how the accounts are funded, and how distributions work.

Who is Eligible and How Do You Opt In?

  • Each eligible child must be opted in by a parent or guardian; accounts are not automatically created.
  • The U.S. Treasury will set up the basic account framework for each eligible child, but parents must actively open/activate the account.
  • To opt in, parents will either:
    • File new Form 4547, or
    • Enroll through a federal online portal once it is available.
  • As of now, only a draft Form 4547 has been released, and the online portal is not expected to be available until mid‑2026.

Government and Private “Seed” Contributions

Trump accounts are unusual because they can receive funding from multiple sources, including the federal government and specific qualifying organizations.

$1,000 federal contribution:

  • The federal government will contribute $1,000 to each Trump account opened for children born after 2024 and before 2029.
  • Parents must opt in (via Form 4547 or the portal) to receive this contribution.
  • Additional $250 for lower‑income ZIP codes:
    • Michael and Susan Dell have pledged $6.25 billion to fund additional contributions for 25 million children ages 0-10 who live in ZIP codes with a median income below $150,000.
    • Eligible children in those areas will receive an additional $250 in their Trump accounts.
  • These government and qualifying organizational contributions:
    • Are not taxable to the child.
    • Don’t create a cost basis in the account (they are treated more like pre‑tax contributions inside a traditional IRA for tax purposes).

How Much Can Be Contributed Each Year?

In addition to the federal and qualifying “general” contributions, families and employers can add their own money:

  • Up to $5,000 per year can be contributed to a child’s Trump account until the child turns 18.
    • This annual limit applies to all contributions combined (parents, relatives, employers, etc.).
    • The $5,000 limit will be indexed for inflation each year after 2027.
  • Of that $5,000 annual limit, up to $2,500 may be contributed tax‑free by an employer of either the parent or the child (if the child has a job).
  • Contributions can be made by:
    • Parents or guardians.
    • Grandparents or other relatives.
    • Other individuals who wish to help fund the account.
  • Key tax point:
    • No one gets an income tax deduction for contributing to a Trump account.
    • Qualified general contributions by governments or 501(c)(3)s, employer contributions, and the federal $1,000 contribution do not create a cost basis in the account.
  • Timing restriction: Contributions cannot begin before July 4, 2026.

Investment Rules and Distribution Basics

These accounts are intended to be long‑term, stock‑based retirement-savings vehicles for children.

Investment options (before age 18)

  • Until the child turns 18, Trump account funds may be invested only in:
    • Certain stock mutual funds, or
    • Exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) that track an index of primarily U.S. companies (for example, an S&P 500 index fund).
  • The goal is to keep investment choices simple, diversified, and aligned with long‑term growth.

Withdrawals and taxes

  • Before age 18:
    • Distributions are generally not allowed while the beneficiary is under 18, with limited exceptions to be clarified in regulations.
  • Starting at age 18:
    • Once the beneficiary reaches 18, distributions are taxed similarly to a traditional IRA:
      • Withdrawals that represent cost basis (after‑tax contributions) are generally not taxable.
      • Withdrawals of earnings (growth, income, and pre‑tax contributions) are taxable as ordinary income in the year withdrawn.
    • Before age 59½, taxable portions of distributions may also be subject to a 10% early distribution penalty, unless an exception applies (e.g., certain education expenses, first‑time home purchase, or other qualifying events under IRA rules).

Rollovers

  • A Trump account may be rolled over, in or after the year the beneficiary turns 18, to:
    • traditional IRA for the same beneficiary, or
    • Certain other qualifying retirement accounts (subject to future guidance).
  • This allows the account to transition into the standard retirement system once the child is an adult.

Planning Considerations for Families

For many families, especially those who do not currently max out other tax‑advantaged plans, Trump accounts may offer:

  • federally funded start for a child’s retirement savings.
  • A structured way for parents, grandparents, and employers to add to long‑term savings.
  • Investment in low‑cost, diversified stock index funds with decades to grow.

At the same time, because:

  • Contributions are not deductible,
  • Investment choices are restricted before age 18, and
  • Rules around basis, taxation, and penalties mirror traditional IRA rules,

it will be essential to coordinate any Trump account funding with your broader retirement and education planning, as well as with Roth IRAs, 529 plans, and regular taxable accounts.

Kids’ IRA or UTMA/UGMA Account?

Some leading financial planners have noted that Trump accounts may not always be the best way to save for children.

One key critique is that while these accounts offer tax deferral, they do not provide tax‑free growth as a Roth IRA does. Instead, contributions are after‑tax, and much of the growth is eventually taxed as ordinary income when withdrawn in adulthood, similar to a non‑deductible traditional IRA.

By contrast, a simple taxable custodial account (UGMA/UTMA) can often take advantage of the kiddie tax and favorable long‑term capital gains rates, allowing families to realize gains periodically at low or even 0% tax rates and to step up basis over time. This can leave the child with more after‑tax wealth than a Trump account, even if the account values look similar on paper.​

Advisors also note that flexibility favors traditional custodial accounts.

UGMA/UTMA assets can be used for a wide range of goals once the child reaches majority: education, starting a business, a first home, or other needs, without early‑withdrawal penalties.

Trump accounts, on the other hand, are subject to retirement‑style rules: access is constrained, withdrawals before age 59½ can trigger penalties, and distributions are generally taxed as ordinary income.

Taken together, the ordinary‑income taxation, lack of a true tax‑free “Roth‑like” benefit, and tighter withdrawal rules are why some experts still prefer straightforward taxable custodial accounts as the primary savings vehicle for many families, using Trump accounts (if at all) as a supplemental tool rather than the core strategy.​

Get in touch with us if you’d like help evaluating whether a Trump account makes sense for your family and how it fits with your existing financial planning. The next step is to review your situation and your current saving priorities.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

Understanding Invesco’s Aggressive QQQ Proxy Push

Several clients have written to me inquiring about the barrage of calls, emails, and messages from Invesco regarding the ETF QQQ’s push to gather proxy votes. Here’s an excerpt of one client’s question and my response (greatly expanded for this article):

“…not the most consequential message you’ll receive this year, but my curiosity has been piqued … by the campaign from Invesco QQQ to cast a proxy vote. I’ve never seen anything like it – the mailings, the calls, and so on – for a process that, in my experience, has always been ultra-routine and pretty meaningless for someone like me. Can you explain, and do you have any advice?”

Thanks for reading Uncommon Cents! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

Here’s how I responded

Regarding the campaign, you’re not alone. Many clients have noticed the unusually intense campaign from Invesco regarding the proxy vote for Invesco QQQ, and you’re right that it stands out from what’s usually a routine process for most fund shareholders.

Early on, my business partner suggested that I write and send an email to clients about this. Not realizing the intensity of Invesco’s push, I decided we didn’t need to, which turned out to be a mistake. In all my years in the business, I’ve never seen or heard of any company launching such an intense and aggressive proxy gathering campaign.

Here’s what’s really going on

Invesco is proposing to convert the ETF QQQ from its current structure (a unit investment trust, which dates back to the earliest ETFs) into a modern, open-ended exchange-traded fund. The primary rationale is to enhance flexibility, oversight, and reduce costs. Specifically, if shareholders approve, the QQQ expense ratio would decrease by 10% (from 0.20% to 0.18%), resulting in tens of millions of dollars in yearly savings across the fund. Importantly, this change won’t impact QQQ’s strategy, holdings, or tax characteristics, nor will it change the fund’s manager or its index-tracking approach.

The reason you’ve gotten multiple mailings and calls? Invesco requires a high level of shareholder participation: by law, converting QQQ’s trust structure requires more than half of all shares to be actively voted “yes.” Unlike typical votes where non-responses are ignored, in this case, non-votes count as “no” votes—which is why the fund is spending so much to encourage participation and obtain a quorum. With so many retail investors holding QQQ, this is a true logistical challenge.

Details of the push

  • Three separate proposals must all pass: shareholders are voting on three linked items: conversion from a unit investment trust to an open-ended ETF, associated changes to the management/advisory structure, and the creation of a board of directors. If any proposal fails, none of the changes will be implemented.​
  • Non-votes count as “No” votes: Unlike routine proxy votes, shareholders who do not respond are counted against the proposals, making high participation essential.​
  • Shareholder benefits include:
    • Lower expense ratio (from 0.20% to 0.18%, estimated savings ~$70 million/year).​
    • Enhanced governance via a new board overseeing the fund for the first time; greater reporting and transparency, including summary prospectuses and semi-annual reports.​
  • No change to investment objective, index, or tax treatment: The fund will continue to track the Nasdaq-100® Index. The conversion is a tax-free event for shareholders.​
  • Huge outreach effort: Invesco is spending an estimated $40 million on proxy solicitation to ensure quorum, highlighting the unusual scale and importance of this campaign.​
  • Record date: August 15, 2025. Only shareholders of record as of this date are eligible to vote.​
  • If approved, conversion is likely to happen by year-end or early 2026.

Potential downsides of shareholder approval

  • Increased Operational Flexibility Means More Managerial Discretion: The move to an open-ended fund structure allows Invesco and its new board greater latitude in making changes, such as fee adjustments or introducing derivatives, that previously required more restrictive oversight under the unit investment trust (UIT) format. This future flexibility depends on the intentions and discipline of the board and managers, and could shift if there’s turnover in leadership.​
  • Invesco Begins Collecting Direct Management Fees: The new format allows Invesco to collect a “unitary management fee” that the trust structure previously didn’t permit. This creates an incentive to grow profits and, potentially, alter expenses down the line, despite the initial fee reduction.​
  • Board Compensation and Governance Costs: A nine-member board will be introduced, which adds an additional cost layer (director compensation and overhead) that could offset some savings or shift incentives compared to a strictly trustee-based approach.​
  • Liquidity Risk in Market Downturns: Open-ended funds may be forced to sell portfolio assets at unfavorable prices if a large number of investors redeem shares during periods of stress, potentially impacting performance. The UIT structure allows shares to trade among investors without requiring the sale of underlying assets, a mechanism that some investors value for stability during volatile times.​
  • Shareholder Risk in Securities Lending: Invesco may expand its securities lending activities under the new structure, and any resulting risks or losses would be borne directly by shareholders, not by Invesco.​
  • No Guarantee Future Fees Will Remain Lower: While initial projections indicate a 10% reduction in the expense ratio, future changes to fee schedules are possible under the new open-ended structure, subject to board approval.​

While many see these risks as manageable, they should be evaluated alongside the promised benefits. It’s important for shareholders to understand both sides before casting a vote.

What major institutional holders think

Major institutions that hold QQQ have generally leaned in support of the conversion vote, viewing the restructuring as beneficial for both operational efficiency and cost reduction. However, the fund has an unusually large retail investor base, making institutional votes influential but insufficient to guarantee passage, which is why Invesco has mounted such an aggressive campaign.​

  • Institutional Sentiment: Proxy advisory firms and ETF strategists have publicly supported the move, highlighting reduced expense ratios, improved governance via a new board, and enhanced transparency as positives for shareholders. Major institutional holders—including major brokerage platforms, asset managers, and pension funds—are widely expected to vote in favor due to these clear-cut advantages, as their own portfolios will directly benefit from fee savings.​
  • Voting Weight: Institutions typically vote their shares, but approximately 40–50% of QQQ ownership is held by retail investors, and a majority of the outstanding shares must vote “yes” for the conversion to occur.​
  • No Institutional Opposition Spotted: As of now, there is no reported campaign of institutional opposition to the change; the proposal is seen industry-wide as a modernization step that aligns QQQ with other large ETFs.

What I think

This change appears to be designed to benefit shareholders by offering lower costs and greater transparency. Despite the potential downsides, it is unlikely to introduce major surprises or large additional risks.

If you agree, I’d suggest voting in favor; however, you won’t be at any disadvantage if you simply ignore the campaign—the fund will continue regardless. Invesco’s push is simply a matter of meeting the voting threshold they need.

Timing of the vote postponed

The original QQQ conversion proxy vote was scheduled for October 24, 2025. After failing to reach a quorum at the original meeting, the vote was postponed to December 5, 2025.

It sounds like the phone calls, emails, snail mail, and text messages will continue for a few more weeks. Or as they say, “the beatings will continue until morale improves.” Maybe casting your vote will stop all the messages. In any case, it’s worth a try.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

The High Ground: Why AI Will Never Replace Human Financial Planners

Introductory Note: I was inspired to write this based on a recent rant by one of the fathers of the financial planning profession and author of “Inside Information”, Bob Veres. I’ve used his rant (with his express written permission) to expand on this topic.

Every few months, the same headline resurfaces—“Artificial intelligence (AI) won’t replace human financial planners.” It’s meant to reassure, but perhaps we should also ask: why does this declaration keep needing to be made?

These forecasts of inevitable obsolescence have circulated through our profession for decades. We heard them when the first planning programs rolled out in the early 1980s. We heard them again in the 2010s, when “robo‑advisors” promised efficient algorithms would do the same work for a fraction of the cost. Today, with artificial intelligence reshaping industries from law to logistics, we’re told—yet again—that technology will soon do it all… but “not yet.”

My position is simpler: not ever.

Am I being naive or perhaps ignorant of where AI is headed? Perhaps.

Many don’t know this, but the roots of the “geek” in my financial planning moniker, “themoneygeek,” stem from my strong interest and decades-long professional background and expertise working in technology as a software product manager, technology consultant, and educator.

I got my start in the financial planning profession by first consulting with other financial planners on their technology architecture needs to get that proverbial foot in the door. So, as a self-declared technogeek since the 1980s, I have some credibility when making this statement.

What Technology Really Does Best

Let’s be clear—technology is not the enemy of good advice. It’s an amplifier. AI‑driven tools can already integrate real‑time market data, automate rebalancing, flag tax‑loss harvesting opportunities, model cash flow across multiple scenarios, and surface insights about spending or risk that would take hours to identify manually.​

A fee‑only fiduciary who embraces these tools can deliver faster answers, cleaner reporting, and deeper analytics. In that sense, technology actually gives human advisors more leverage to serve their clients—just as earlier innovations like portfolio management and financial planning software once did.​

But algorithms can’t build trust, navigate life events, or calm a shaken client during a market shock. A spreadsheet doesn’t hear the fear in someone’s voice. A chatbot doesn’t see a spouse’s expression at the thought of retiring early or funding a child’s education.

The True Frontier of Advice

The maturation of our profession has always followed an upward path—from product sales, to planning, to personalized professional advice. The next step is coaching: helping clients clarify what they truly want from this one precious life they’ve been given.

That process involves conversations about purpose, family, trade‑offs, and meaning—topics that no predictive model can quantify. Many clients, given the tools, still won’t set priorities or pursue their deeper goals without a trusted nudge from a human advisor. They’ll plan for others before they plan for themselves. And that’s where the real value of our work lies: helping people live their money, not just manage it.​

Where the “High Ground” Lies

The safest territory from automation is not in number‑crunching but in connection—the human partnership that turns goals into action.

Technology can see patterns. Only people can see you.

Artificial intelligence will make planners faster, smarter, and more efficient—but never replace the relationship that gives planning its meaning.

So rather than defending our values against technology, let’s stand firmly on higher ground:

Empathy. Context. Coaching. Accountability.

Those are the edges no algorithm can reach.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA, PFS is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other retirement, college, tax, or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

New Tax Bill Requires Updated Planning Approach

President Trump signed into law the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, after months of deliberation in the House and Senate. The legislation includes multiple tax provisions that will guide individuals, business owners, and investors in planning their finances for many years to come.

The OBBBA makes permanent most of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) tax provisions that were set to expire at the end of this year, while delivering several new deductions and changes.

Many of the new and modified provisions seem simple on the surface, but will require new approaches to tax planning to optimize the benefits of various tax breaks.

On behalf of all CPA’s and accountants, and before delving into the various provisions below, I want to thank Congress for renewing the “CPA Full Employment Act,” also known as GOFA (Guaranteed Overtime for Accountants), proving once again that while tax breaks may expire, job security for tax professionals is eternal.

TCJA Expiring provisions that are now permanent

Rates and structure

The TCJA reduced the applicable tax rates for most brackets from 2018 through 2025, while increasing the income range covered by each bracket. The new legislation makes the TCJA rates and structure permanent. Individual marginal income tax brackets will remain at 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, and 37%.

Standard deduction amounts

The TCJA established larger standard deduction amounts. The OBBBA includes an additional increase, and for 2025, the standard deduction amounts are:

  • $31,500 for married filing jointly
  • $23,625 for head of household
  • $15,750 for single and married filing separately

Personal exemptions

The TCJA eliminated the deduction for personal exemptions. The last year it was available was 2017 at $4,050 per exemption. This deduction is now permanently eliminated.

Child tax credit

Prior temporary increases to the child tax credit, the refundable portion of the credit, and income phase-out ranges are made permanent. The OBBBA increases the child tax credit to $2,200 for each qualifying child starting in 2025.

Mortgage interest deduction

The TCJA imposed a limit of $750,000 ($375,000 for married filing separately) on qualifying mortgage debt for purposes of the mortgage interest deduction. It also made interest on home equity indebtedness nondeductible. Both provisions are now permanent.

The OBBBA reinstates the previously expired provision allowing for the deduction of mortgage insurance premiums as interest (subject to income limitations), beginning in 2026.

Estate and gift tax exemption

The TCJA implemented a larger estate and gift tax exemption amount (essentially doubled it). The OBBBA increases it to $15 million in 2026 ($30 million for married couples), and it will be indexed for inflation in subsequent years.

Alternative minimum tax (AMT)

The TCJA implemented significantly increased AMT exemption amounts and exemption income phase-out thresholds. The OBBBA makes them permanent.

Itemized deduction limit

The OBBBA replaces the previously suspended (from 2018 to 2025) overall limit on itemized deductions. This was known as the “Pease limitation.”

For taxpayers with adjusted gross income (AGI) above a specified threshold (for example, in 2017, $254,200 for single filers and $305,050 for married filing jointly), the Pease limitation reduced total itemized deductions by 3% of the amount by which AGI exceeded the threshold. The haircut could not exceed 80% of the total itemized deductions.

The Pease limitation is now replaced with a percentage reduction that applies to individuals in the highest tax bracket (37%), effectively capping the value of each $1.00 of itemized deductions at $0.35.

Most taxpayers will find the new limitation more generous, as the cap only affects the highest earners.

Qualified business income deduction (Section 199A)

The TCJA created the deduction for qualified business income. The OBBBA additionally increases the phase-in thresholds for the deduction limit. A new minimum deduction of $400 is now available for specific individuals with at least $1,000 in qualified business income.

TCJA Existing provisions with material changes

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act also makes significant changes to other provisions, some of which are temporary, while others are permanent. Two of the changes that received substantial coverage leading up to passage and enactment include a temporary increase in the limit on allowable state and local tax deductions and the rollback of existing energy tax incentives.

State and local tax deduction (SALT)

The new legislation temporarily increases the cap on the SALT deduction from $10,000 to $40,000 through 2029. This increased cap is retroactively effective for the entire year 2025. The $40,000 cap will increase to $40,400 in 2026 and by 1% for each of the following three years.

The cap is reduced for those with modified adjusted gross incomes (AGI) exceeding $500,000 (tax year 2025, adjusted for inflation in subsequent years), but the limit is never reduced below $10,000. In 2030, the SALT deduction cap will return to $10,000.

Careful income and deduction planning for taxpayers around the $500,000 AGI level will be critical going forward.

Repeal and phase-out of clean energy credits

The new legislation significantly rolls back energy-related tax incentives. Provisions include:

  • The Clean Vehicle Credit (Internal Revenue Code or IRC Section 30D), the Previously Owned Clean Vehicle Credit (IRC Section 25E), and the Qualified Commercial Clean Vehicles Credit (IRC Section 45W) are eliminated effective for vehicles acquired after September 30, 2025.
  • The Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit (IRC Section 25C) and the Residential Clean Energy Credit (IRC Section 25D) are repealed for property placed in service after December 31, 2025.
  • The New Energy Efficient Home Credit (Section 45L) will expire on June 30, 2026; the credit cannot be claimed for homes acquired after that date.
  • The Alternative Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit (IRC Section 30C) will not be available for property placed in service after June 30, 2026.

Gambling losses

The new law changes the treatment of gambling losses, effective as of 2026.

Before the legislation, individuals could deduct 100% of their gambling losses against winnings (the deduction could never exceed the amount of gambling winnings). Now, a new cap limits deductions to 90%.

Bonus depreciation and Section 179 expensing

Before this legislation, the additional first-year “bonus” depreciation was being phased out, with the maximum deduction dropping to 40% by 2025.

The new legislation permanently establishes a 100% additional first-year depreciation deduction for qualifying property, allowing businesses to deduct the full cost of such property in the year of acquisition. The 100% additional first-year depreciation deduction is available for property acquired after January 19, 2025.

Effective for property placed in service in 2025, the legislation also increases the limit for expensing under IRC Section 179 from $1 million of acquisitions (indexed for inflation) to $2.5 million, and it increases the phase-out threshold from $2.5 million (indexed for inflation) to $4 million.

OBBBA New provisions

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act includes several new tax deductions intended to represent a step toward fulfilling campaign promises that eliminate taxes on Social Security, tips, and overtime. Some of these new deductions are temporary, others are permanent.

Deduction for seniors

Effective for tax years 2025–2028, the legislation creates a new $6,000 deduction for qualifying individuals who reach the age of 65 during the year. The deduction begins to phase out when modified adjusted gross income exceeds $75,000 ($150,000 for married filing jointly).

Tip income deduction, AKA “no tax on tips”

Effective for tax years 2025–2028, for the first time, tip-based workers can deduct a portion of their cash tips for federal income tax purposes. Individuals who receive qualified cash tips in occupations that customarily received tips before January 1, 2025, may exclude up to $25,000 in reported tip income from their federal taxable income. A married couple filing a joint return may each claim a deduction of up to $25,000.

The deduction phases out at a modified adjusted gross income of $150,000 for single filers and $300,000 for joint filers. This provision applies to a broad range of service occupations, including restaurant staff, hairstylists, and hospitality workers.

Overtime deduction, AKA “no tax on overtime”

A new temporary deduction of up to $12,500 ($25,000 if married filing jointly) is established for qualified overtime compensation. The deduction is phased out for individuals with a modified adjusted gross income of over $150,000 ($300,000 if married filing jointly).

The deduction is reduced by $100 for each $1,000 of modified adjusted gross income exceeding the threshold. To claim the deduction, a Social Security number must be provided. The deduction is available for tax years 2025 through 2028.

Investment accounts for children, AKA “Trump accounts”

A new tax-deferred account for children under the age of 18 is created, effective January 1, 2026. With limited exceptions, up to $5,000 in total can be contributed to an account annually (the $5,000 amount is indexed for inflation). Parents, relatives, employers, and certain tax-exempt, nonprofit, and government organizations are eligible to make contributions. Contributions are not tax-deductible.

For children born between 2025 and 2028, the federal government will contribute $1,000 per child into eligible accounts. Distributions generally cannot be made from the account before the account holder reaches the age of 18, and there are restrictions, limitations, and tax consequences that govern how and when account funds can be used. To have an account, a child must be a U.S. citizen and have a Social Security number.

Charitable deduction for non-itemizers and itemizers

The legislation reinstates a tax provision that was previously effective for tax year 2021.

A deduction for qualifying charitable contributions is now permanently established for individuals who do not itemize deductions. The deduction is capped at $1,000 ($2,000 for married filing jointly). Contributions must be made in cash to a public charity and meet other specific requirements. This deduction is available starting in tax year 2026.

For itemizers, the legislation introduces a “haircut” to charitable contributions, equivalent to 0.5% of adjusted gross income, similar to the 7.5% haircut for medical expenses.

These provisions possibly make donor-advised funds and qualified charitable distributions (from IRAs for those age 70.5 or older) more critical than ever to incorporate into charitable giving strategies and planning.

Car loan interest deduction, AKA “no tax on car loan interest”

For tax years 2025–2028, interest paid on car loans is now deductible for certain buyers.

Beginning in 2025, taxpayers who purchase qualifying new vehicles assembled in the United States for personal use may deduct up to $10,000 in annual interest on a qualifying loan.

The deduction is phased out at higher incomes, starting at a modified adjusted gross income of $100,000 (single filers) or $200,000 (joint filers).

529 Education Savings Plans

Section 529 college savings accounts are expanded in three critical ways:

First, you can withdraw up to $20,000 per year tax-free for K-12 schooling beginning in 2026, an increase of $10,000 from the current annual cap. As always, there is no limit on the amount of tax-free withdrawals that can be used to pay for college.

Second, more K-12 expenses are covered. It used to be that distributions for K-12 education were tax-free only if used to cover tuition. Now covered are costs of tuition, materials for curricula and online studying, books, educational tutoring, fees for taking an advanced placement test or any exam related to college admission, and educational therapies provided by a licensed provider to students with disabilities. This easing begins with distributions from 529 accounts made after July 4, 2025.

Third, certain post-high school credentialing program costs are eligible for payment via 529 plans. This expansion supports individuals pursuing alternative educational and career pathways outside of traditional degree programs. Eligible costs typically include:

  • Tuition, books, and required fees for credentialing and licensing programs.
  • Testing fees to obtain or maintain a professional certification or license.
  • Continuing education costs needed to renew or maintain specific credentials.
  • Supplies and equipment required for a recognized credentialing program.

1099 Reporting

A 2021 law required third-party settlement networks to send 1099-Ks to payees who were paid more than $600 for goods and services. The OBBBA repeals this change and restores the prior reporting rule. Third-party networks are now required to send 1099-Ks only to payees with over 200 transactions who were paid more than $20,000 in a calendar year.

The filing threshold for 1099-MISC and 1099-NEC forms increases from $600 to $2,000, effective with forms sent out in 2027 for tax year 2026. This figure will be indexed for inflation. The $600 reporting threshold has not changed since 1954, even though prices have increased by about 1095% since then.

But wait….there’s more …

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act includes broad and sweeping changes that will have a profound impact on tax planning. The legislation is over 800 pages long, and we have only scratched the surface here.

While income and estate tax provisions are highlighted in this summary, the legislation also makes fundamental changes that impact areas such as healthcare, immigration, and border security, as well as additional tax changes. Further information and details will be forthcoming in the coming weeks and months. There are numerous unanswered questions that will be addressed through Congressional technical corrections, IRS Bulletins, and upcoming regulations.

As always, if you have questions about how these changes affect your specific situation, please don’t hesitate to contact us. Although I expect a jump in my overtime this year as a result of this tax bill, the no-tax-on-overtime provision does not apply to yours truly. I guess that’s the price to pay for having a job for life.

Sam H. Fawaz is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other tax or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We begin with a thorough assessment of your unique personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client’s financial plan and investment objectives are unique.

Does the new Social Security ID Verification Affect You?

This spring, the Social Security Administration (SSA) announced that some individuals who want to claim Social Security benefits or change their direct deposit account information will need to prove their identity in person at a local Social Security field office.

According to the SSA, stronger identity verification procedures are needed to prevent fraud. The new rule is already confusing, partly because of its hasty rollout, so here are answers to some common questions and links to official SSA information.

Who will need to visit a Social Security office to verify their identity?

This new rule only affects people without or who can’t use their personal mySocialSecurity account. If you already have a mySocialSecurity account, you can continue to file new benefit claims, set up direct deposit, or make direct deposit changes online — you will not need to visit an office.

You must visit an office to verify your identity if you do not have a mySocialSecurity account and you are:

· Applying for retirement, survivor, spousal, or dependent child benefits

· Changing direct deposit information for any type of benefit

· Receiving benefit payments by paper check and need to change your mailing address

You don’t need to visit an office to verify your identity if you are applying for Medicare, Social Security disability benefits, or Supplemental Security Income (SSI) benefits — these are exempt from the new rule, and you can complete the process by phone.

If you’re already receiving benefits and don’t need to change direct deposit information, you will not have to contact the SSA online or in person to verify your identity. According to the SSA, “People will continue to receive their benefits and on time to the bank account information in Social Security’s records without needing to prove their identity.” There’s also no need to visit an office to verify your identity if you are not yet receiving benefits.

The SSA has also announced that requests for direct deposit changes (online or in person) will be processed within one business day. Before this, online direct deposit changes were held for 30 days.

What if you don’t have a mySocialSecurity account?

You can create an account anytime on the SSA website, ssa.gov/myaccount. A mySocialSecurity account is free and gives you access to SSA tools and services online. For example, you can request a replacement Social Security card, view your Social Security statement that includes your earnings record and future benefit estimates, apply for new benefits and set up direct deposit, or manage your current benefits and change your direct deposit instructions.

To start the sign-up process, you will be prompted to create an account with one of two credential service providers, Login.gov or ID.me. These services meet the U.S. government’s identity proofing and authentication requirements and help the SSA securely verify your identity online, so you won’t need to prove your identity at an SSA office. You can also use your existing Login.gov or ID.me credentials if you have already signed up with one of these providers elsewhere.

If you’re unable or unwilling to create a mySocialSecurity account, you can call the SSA and start a benefits claim; however, if you’re filing an application for retirement, survivor, spousal, or dependent child benefits, your request can’t be completed until your identity is verified in person. You may also start a direct deposit change by phone and subsequently visit an office to complete the identity verification step. You can find your local SSA office using the Social Security Office Locator at ssa.gov.

To complete your transaction in one step, the SSA recommends scheduling an in-person appointment by calling the SSA at (800) 772-1213. However, you may face delays. According to SSA data (through February), only 44% of benefit claim appointments are scheduled within 28 days, and the average time you’ll wait on hold to speak to a representative (in English) is 1 hour and 28 minutes, though you can request a callback (74% of callers do). These wait times will vary, but are likely to worsen as the influx of calls increases and the SSA experiences staffing cuts.

What if your Social Security account was created before September 18, 2021?

Last July, the SSA announced that anyone who created a mySocialSecurity account with a username and password before September 18, 2021, would need to begin using either Login.gov or ID.me to continue accessing their Social Security account. If you haven’t already completed the transition, you can find instructions at ssa.gov/myaccount.

How can you help protect yourself against Social Security scams?

Scammers may take advantage of confusion over this new rule by posing as SSA representatives and asking individuals to verify their identity to continue receiving benefits. Be extremely careful if you receive an unsolicited call, text, email, or social media message claiming to be from the SSA or the Office of the Inspector General.

Although SSA representatives may occasionally contact beneficiaries by phone for legitimate business purposes, they will never contact you via text message or social media. Representatives will never threaten you, pressure you to take immediate action (including sharing personal information), ask you to send money, or say they need to suspend your Social Security number. Familiarize yourself with the signs of a Social Security-related scam by visiting ssa.gov/scam.

Sam H. Fawaz is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other tax or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We start with a specific assessment of your personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client and their financial plan and investment objectives are different.

Hidden Risks of Naming a Trust as Your IRA or 401(k) Beneficiary

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Naming your trust as the beneficiary of your IRA or 401(k) can be a powerful estate planning tool, but it comes with significant complexities and trade-offs.

Recent IRS regulations, particularly the final regulations issued in July 2024, have made several significant changes affecting individuals who have named a trust as the beneficiary of their IRA or 401(k). These changes address required minimum distributions (RMDs), beneficiary classifications, documentation requirements, and tax implications.

If you have a trust, it may no longer be prudent to name your trust as your 401(k) or IRA beneficiary. You may need to consult with your estate planning attorney to confirm that naming your trust as the beneficiary is still a valid designation.

If your trust document is over five years old, you may need to consult your estate planning attorney to modify your trust or update your beneficiary designations to avoid unintended accelerated distribution timeframes or subject the distributions to steep trust tax rates.

Before discussing the latest tax regulations and the implications of naming a trust as your IRA or 401(k) beneficiary, let’s look at the pros and cons of doing so:

PROS OF NAMING A TRUST AS AN IRA BENEFICIARY

• Control Over Distributions: A trust allows you to set specific terms for how and when assets are distributed. This is particularly useful if your beneficiaries are minors, have special needs, or may not be financially responsible [9][10][11][12].

• Protection for Vulnerable Beneficiaries: Trusts can protect beneficiaries who are minors, disabled, or have issues with creditors, addiction, or poor financial decision-making [9][13][14][11][12].

• Asset Protection: A trust can safeguard assets from a beneficiary’s creditors, divorce, or lawsuits [10][12].

• Estate Planning for Blended Families: Trusts can ensure assets are distributed according to your wishes, such as providing for a spouse during their lifetime with the remainder going to children from a previous marriage [13][14][10][12].

• Privacy: Distributions through a trust avoid probate, keeping your estate details private [10].

• Special Needs Planning: A properly structured trust can provide for a beneficiary with special needs without disqualifying them from government benefits [14][10][11].

• Contingency Planning: Trusts can specify what happens if a beneficiary dies before receiving their full share, offering more control over the ultimate disposition of assets [12].

CONS OF NAMING A TRUST AS AN IRA BENEFICIARY

• Accelerated Taxation and RMD Rules: Trusts are subject to RMDs based on the oldest beneficiary’s life expectancy, which can accelerate withdrawals and taxes compared to naming individuals directly [9][13][11].

Under the SECURE Act, most non-spouse beneficiaries, including trusts, must withdraw the entire account within 10 years, eliminating the “stretch IRA” (explained below) in most cases [14][10][11].

• Potential for Higher Taxes: Trusts reach the highest federal income tax rate much faster than individuals. If the trust accumulates income instead of distributing it, this can result in significantly higher taxes [15][10].

• Loss of Spousal Rollover: Naming a trust as beneficiary means a surviving spouse cannot roll the account into their own IRA, losing the ability to defer taxes over their lifetime [14].

• Increased Complexity and Cost: Administering a trust as a retirement account beneficiary involves more paperwork, legal compliance, and potentially higher administrative costs [13][15][10].

• Risk of Non-Compliance: If the trust is not drafted correctly as a “see-through” (or “look-through”) trust (see below), it may trigger even more accelerated distribution rules, such as the five-year distribution rule [15][11].

• Plan Restrictions: Some employer plans may not allow trusts as beneficiaries or may require lump-sum distributions, which could trigger full immediate taxation [13].

• No Probate Avoidance for Trust Assets: While retirement accounts avoid probate when a beneficiary is named, naming a trust does not provide additional probate avoidance for the retirement account, though it does for assets distributed from the trust [11].

When Naming a Trust as Beneficiary Makes Sense

• You have minor, disabled, or financially irresponsible beneficiaries.

• You want to control the timing and amount of distributions.

• You need to protect assets from creditors or divorce.

• You have a blended family and want to ensure specific inheritance outcomes.

• You have a beneficiary who relies on government benefits.

When It May Not Be Advantageous

• Your beneficiaries are financially responsible adults.

• You want to maximize tax deferral and minimize complexity.

• Your spouse is the primary beneficiary and would benefit from rollover options.

KEY TAX CHANGES AND THEIR EFFECTS

Before the SECURE Act, passed in December 2019, IRA beneficiaries enjoyed a long “stretch” of time to take distributions from the IRAs they inherited. Beneficiaries could distribute the inherited IRA assets over the remainder of their lifetimes using the IRS RMD rules.

That stretch was largely eliminated for most IRA beneficiaries who inherited an IRA from a decedent starting in 2020. The IRS took over 4 1/2 years from the passage of the SECURE Act to finalize regulations surrounding distributions from post-2019 inherited IRAs.

1. Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) and the 10-Year Rule

As mentioned above, the SECURE Act and its subsequent regulations essentially eliminated the “stretch IRA” for most non-spouse beneficiaries, including trusts, replacing it with a 10-year payout rule. This means that, in most cases, all funds in an inherited IRA or 401(k) must be distributed by the end of the 10th year following the account holder’s death.

If the account owner died after their required beginning date (RBD), annual RMDs must be taken during years 1–9, with the entire balance distributed by year 10.

If the account owner died before their required beginning date (RBD), annual required minimum distributions (RMDs) are not required in years 1–9. Instead, the entire inherited IRA or retirement account balance must be distributed by the end of the 10th year following the year of the original owner’s death. Depending on the size of the IRA and the beneficiary’s tax bracket, taking some distributions in years 1-9 may be prudent, even if not required.

The RBD for most IRA owners is age 70-1/2 to 73 (soon to be 75). Remember that the “M” in RMD is the minimum you must distribute. Depending on the size of the IRA, more than the minimum distribution will often make more sense.

Only “Eligible Designated Beneficiaries” (EDBs), such as spouses, minor children (until age 21), disabled or chronically ill individuals, or beneficiaries less than 10 years younger than the decedent, can still use the stretch distribution based on their life expectancy.

2. Trust Types and Beneficiary Analysis

The IRS continues to recognize “see-through” (or “look-through”) trusts, which allow the trust’s individual beneficiaries to be treated as the IRA’s beneficiaries for RMD purposes.

To qualify as a see-through trust under IRS rules, the trust must meet specific criteria that allow its beneficiaries to be treated as direct beneficiaries of an inherited IRA or 401(k). These requirements ensure the trust can utilize stretch distributions or the 10-year rule based on beneficiary status (i.e., EDB or non-EDB).

Here are the key requirements of a see-through trust:

a. Validity Under State Law

The trust must be legally valid in the state where it was created. This typically requires proper execution, witnessing, and notarization of the trust document.

b. Irrevocability Upon Death

The trust must be irrevocable from inception or upon the account owner’s death. Revocable trusts that convert to irrevocable status at death are acceptable.

c. Identifiable Beneficiaries

All trust beneficiaries must be clearly named, identifiable, and eligible individuals (e.g., people, not charities or other entities). This ensures the IRS can “see through” the trust to determine distribution timelines based on beneficiary life expectancies or the 10-year rule.

If a trust is not a see-through trust, it may be considered a:

  1. Conduit Trust: All IRA distributions must be immediately passed to beneficiaries. Taxes are paid at the beneficiaries’ individual rates, but the 10-year rule generally applies unless all beneficiaries are EDBs.

OR

  1. Accumulation (Discretionary) Trust: Distributions are retained in the trust, which pays taxes at higher trust tax rates. All trust beneficiaries are considered when determining the payout period, and the 10-year rule usually applies.

The Final Regulations allow trusts that split into separate subtrusts for each beneficiary upon the account holder’s death to apply RMD rules based on each subtrust’s beneficiary status. This can preserve stretch treatment for EDBs even if other beneficiaries are subject to the 10-year rule.

3. Documentation Requirements

For IRAs, the IRS has eliminated the requirement for trustees to provide detailed trust documentation to the IRA custodian. Now, only a list of trust beneficiaries and their entitlements may be required, greatly simplifying compliance for see-through trusts.

Some documentation requirements remain for 401(k) and other employer plans, but they have been simplified.

4. Tax Consequences

As mentioned above, trusts reach the top income tax bracket much faster than individuals. In 2024, trust income over $15,200 is taxed at 37%, whereas individuals do not hit this rate until much higher income levels. This can result in significantly higher tax bills if IRA distributions are accumulated in a trust rather than paid to beneficiaries.

Lump-sum distributions or failing to comply with the new rules can result in accelerated taxation and potential penalties.

5. Special Provisions and Clarifications

The IRS clarified that if a trust divides into separate subtrusts immediately upon the account owner’s death, each subtrust is analyzed separately for RMD purposes.

If trust terms or beneficiaries are modified after the account owner’s death (by September 30 of the following year), these changes will affect RMD calculations as if they were always part of the original trust.

Payments made “for the benefit of” a beneficiary (such as to a custodial account for a minor) are treated as direct payments to the beneficiary for RMD purposes.

PRACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS

Most trusts named as IRA or 401(k) beneficiaries will now face the 10-year payout rule, with fewer opportunities for long-term tax deferral.

Under the new rules, trusts must be carefully analyzed and possibly restructured to maximize tax efficiency and achieve estate planning goals.

Simplifying documentation requirements reduces administrative burdens for IRA trusts, but not necessarily for employer plans.

High trust tax rates make accumulation trusts less attractive for holding retirement assets over the long term.

ACTION MAY BE REQUIRED

If your IRA or 401(k) names your trust as a beneficiary, it’s advisable to consult with your estate planning attorney to ensure that, in light of the recent tax regulations, naming the Trust as beneficiary is still prudent.

If you’re unsure whether your trust is considered a see-through trust, consult with your estate planning attorney to determine if the trust must be modified to ensure that the 10-year distribution for beneficiaries remains intact. Otherwise, that 10-year period might be inadvertently shortened to five years, or worse, subject distributions to overly steep trust tax rates.

Whether you have a trust or have named your trust as a beneficiary of your IRA or 401(k), now is a good time to check the beneficiary designations on all of your retirement accounts and insurance policies to ensure they are up to date and reflect all of your recent life changes. If something should happen to you, your loved ones will be most grateful.

Sam H. Fawaz is the President of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a fee-only investment advisory and financial planning firm serving the entire United States. If you would like to review your current investment portfolio or discuss any other tax or financial planning matters, please don’t hesitate to contact us or visit our website at http://www.ydfs.com. We are a fiduciary financial planning firm that always puts your interests first, with no products to sell. If you are not a client, an initial consultation is complimentary, and there is never any pressure or hidden sales pitch. We start with a specific assessment of your personal situation. There is no rush and no cookie-cutter approach. Each client and their financial plan and investment objectives are different.

1-8. Deleted

9. https://www.voya.com/blog/retirement-account-pros-and-cons-naming-trust-beneficiary

10. https://www.markruizlaw.com/should-your-living-trust-be-the-beneficiary-of-your-ira-or-401-k-pros-and-cons-explained

11. https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/09/trust-beneficiaries.asp

12. https://www.drobnylaw.com/articles/designating-a-trust-as-beneficiary-of-individual-retirement-account-benefits

13. https://www.myubiquity.com/resources/can-a-trust-be-a-beneficiary-of-a-401-k-plan

14. https://www.katz-law-firm.com/can-a-trust-be-the-beneficiary-of-an-ira/

15. https://caryestateplanning.com/blog/should-i-have-a-trust-as-my-ira-beneficiary/