What’s Going on With the Markets-March 10, 2011

March 10, 2011 — Sam H. Fawaz

Since the beginning of last September, the stock markets have enjoyed a nearly uninterrupted bull uptrend which has been unprecedented in market history.  Fueled by improving economics and Federal Reserve actions, the uptrend has withstood many geopolitical, fiscal and news driven setbacks.  But today the political unrest in the Middle East, issues with Spanish debt repayment and a higher than expected weekly first-time unemployment claim number (497,000) were the 1-2-3 punch that the markets could not recover from and therefore we suffered a 1.5-2.5% setback.  Be it stocks, gold, silver or oil today, they were all down today.

Normally, up-trending bull markets such as the one we’re in take rest periods, or “corrections” as they’re called, every couple of months while individuals and institutions take profits on stock positions and reset stock prices back to normal levels. Corrections (usually 10-20% of an index value such as the S&P 500) are healthy for the market and while uncomfortable if you watch them unfold from day to day, allow the markets to set up for the next leg up.  Two years to the day yesterday into this bull run have seen us move up about 100% from the March 9, 2009 lows on the S&P 500 index. Without a doubt, this has been an incredible run and I hope you’ve been participating.

As I’ve discussed with clients and prospects recently, a correction in the market has been long overdue and anticipated.  While today was the first big down day where we really tested key levels in the indexes, there have been several signs of exhaustion in the market. Despite this, I cannot say with certainty whether we’ve definitively entered into a correction period (technically we have, but it needs to be confirmed with follow-through on Friday and next week.)  If the bulls get their act together tomorrow and “rescue” the market by pushing it back up through heavy volume buying, then this decline may be “all she wrote.”  If not, we could head down to test the 1275 level of the S&P 500 index (we closed at 1295 today).  A failure to hold the 1275 level means that large institutions have decided to continue selling and a drop to 1240 may need to exhaust sellers.

With the “Day of Rage” demonstrations scheduled for Friday in Saudi Arabia, rocketing oil prices and sovereign debt issues, the odds of avoiding a deeper correction are not very high.  Besides, this correction is long overdue and may occur regardless of how peacefully the Middle East situation is resolved or even if oil prices come back down to earth.

What do I think? As I’ve mentioned before, the Federal Reserve has made investing in anything but the stock market earn near zero returns. That is, the government wants us to buy equities, push the stock market (and IRA’s and 401(k)’s) higher, to make us feel richer and more confident and therefore spend more.  Spending more creates demand which in turn creates jobs and so on.  So I believe that the gentle (if somewhat invisible) hand will come in to help support the market and avoid a protracted decline that might scare off the latest entrants into the market. While my crystal ball is still in the shop, I believe that a decline beyond 1275 in the S&P 500 (another 1.5%) is a stretch.  While that would make it a very shallow correction, it may be enough to breathe new life into the stock market and help resume the uptrend.

So what should you do now in light of a possible correction?  Basically, you shouldn’t do much if anything since nothing is confirmed.  If you’re investing on your own, trying to time your “in’s and out’s” of the markets is nearly impossible and not recommended unless you’re an experienced trader.  If you have a profitable position and worry about it turning into a loss, you may decide to sell a portion or all of it.  More savvy investors may be able to hedge their positions with options or inverse ETF’s if the decline proves to be protracted.  From our end for our clients, I’m watching the market technical levels on a daily basis like a hawk and already have begun to harvest some profits and protect some positions. If a protracted downturn does materialize, I may also hedge portfolios with inverse ETF’s and selectively liquidate partial positions.  But we’re not there yet and I’m not making any recommendations.  And by no means do I think we’re entering another bear market (by definition, a bear market begins when we decline 20% from the last peak in a major index).  Non-clients should consult their current advisor (or me) if you’re unsure what to do in the event of a protracted decline and should not treat this as a recommendation to buy or sell anything (see disclaimer below).

Last year we declined nearly 15% from May through August amid sovereign debt worries and economic uncertainty and then proceeded to push up nearly 25% over the next six months. I still believe that we will end 2011 with double-digit gains in the markets as this economy matures from recovery to expansion.  All economic indicators point positively and last month we even added nearly 200,000 new jobs.  We may even see housing perk up a bit later this year.  Without a doubt, sustained oil prices above $125 per barrel and $4 gasoline for an extended period (6 months or more), will put a crimp into the expansion, but I don’t believe we’re heading for a long term spike in oil prices.  Let’s just say that the oil producing countries learned what supply constraints and speculation did to oil demand the last time oil spiked to $145 a barrel. More electric and hybrid cars is just one example of how we are learning to live with less demand for foreign oil.

I hope this message helps alleviate any anxiety over the recent down days in the market.  Remember that the media loves good negative stories to help sell newspapers and advertising. Avoid the noise and try to keep your sanity during the days when it seems like there’s always something bad going on in the world.  Middle Eastern concerns have been a worry for decades, if not centuries now, and likely won’t be resolved during our lifetimes.  Like every other world incident, the markets get back to normal and we get through them.

Enjoy the upcoming weekend and don’t hesitate to contact me if I can be of any help.  If you’re not a client, your consultation with me is complimentary, no-pressure and with no obligation.  I’d love to talk to you whether or not you’re considering hiring a financial planner or money manager.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA is president of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a registered investment advisor. Sam is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP®), Certified Public Accountant and registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA) fee-only financial planner group.  Sam has expertise in many areas of personal finance and wealth management and has always been fascinated with the role of money in society.  Helping others prosper and succeed has been Sam’s mission since he decided to dedicate his life to financial planning.  He specializes in entrepreneurs, professionals, company executives and their families.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable, but we cannot attest to its accuracy.  Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment advisors before making any investment decisions.  Opinions expressed in this writing by Sam H. Fawaz are his own, may change without prior notice and should not be relied upon as a basis for making investment or planning decisions.  No person can accurately forecast or call a market top or bottom, so forward looking statements should be discounted and not relied upon as a basis for investing or trading decisions. This message was authored by Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP and is provided by YDream Financial Services, Inc.

My no-nonsense no-spam policy: If you’d prefer not to receive future updates, just reply and let me know by typing “unsubscribe” in the subject (please don’t hit the spam button-it just puts me on a universal spammer’s list which is tough to get off of.)I’ll take you off my list immediately and permanently.  I will never sell, share, rent or give away your e-mail address to anyone.  Period.

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Update on Extension of Bush Era Tax Cuts

December 7, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

I promised to update you on progress in changes to income tax legislation that affects all of us in 2011.  As you may recall, the Bush-era tax cuts were scheduled to expire after 2010, which essentially amounts to a tax increase if Congress didn’t act to extend them.

After the stock market close yesterday, President Obama, in a televised speech, announced a compromise with Republicans in Congress which, if passed into law, would amount to a much bigger fiscal package in 2011 than virtually anyone expected. In addition to a two-year extension of the Bush-era tax cuts, he added a one-year reduction in the payroll tax and a huge investment tax credit.  While the ultimate bill that gets passed may be different than detailed below, I wanted to get you some details right away.

I would expect that the proposal will be signed and turned into law in the next couple of weeks.  Among the highlights of the proposed bill are:

— A two year extension of tax cuts for all income levels.   The 15% rate on capital gains and dividend income would also be extended as part of the deal. The president also proposes a 35% estate tax rate, with a $5 million exemption.  It appears that the President traded tax extensions for the “rich” for unemployment benefit extensions and the below payroll tax deduction.

— Payroll tax deduction. This would reduce the 6.2% Social Security payroll tax applied to employee wages by 2 percentage points.

— Renewal of emergency unemployment benefits through the end of 2011. This would be more than the three-month extension most analysts had expected. It puts around $60 billion in the hands of unemployed citizens, which is much more than the consensus expected.

— ARRA tax cut extensions. Several small tax cuts in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, passed in 2009, will be extended, including an expanded earned income tax credit, and various education-related tax breaks.

— Full expensing of business investments in 2011.  This would allow the expensing of business investment in 2011, similar to the policy that the president proposed in September.  It will allow companies to deduct the entire cost of capital expenditures on their taxes rather than depreciate them.

Congress and the White House will need to work out the details, but I expect this tax bill to pass. It’s not likely that this lame duck Congress would leave for the holidays until this is sent to the President for his signature.  It’s rare that I pity the Internal Revenue Service, but with tax forms to revamp and guidance and rules to formulate, they will be behind the curve on getting this out.  I would expect some delays of 2010 income tax refunds for returns filed early, but none that are terribly lengthy.

The stock markets have been expecting this, and some of it already factored into current levels, but I still expect market reaction to be positive and further bolster any Santa Claus rally we may have coming.  This is essentially another huge fiscal stimulus plan, perhaps larger than any of us have been expecting or realize.

I’ve been saying all along that Congress will “hem and haw”, posture for their constituents, and pretend to be against tax cuts and for fiscal responsibility.  But ultimately the economy is too fragile to be saddled with a tax increase this year or next. Even I am a bit surprised by the depth and breadth of the bill, but I could not see Congress not doing something before year-end. Failing to pass something would have amounted to a quantitative easing neutralizer (i.e., rendering quantitative easing worthless).

I will keep my eyes and ears peeled open for more details about this bill and its ultimate passage and will let you know what ultimately gets passed. If you, a family member, friend or colleague would like more information about this or just need to talk about a financial situation, please feel free to forward a link to this post to them and suggest they get in touch with me (http://www.ydfs.com).  I will be sure to take good care of them.  As always, I’m available for any questions you may have and welcome your comments.

Have a great holiday season and look for my year-end and 2011 Economic and Market Outlook letter later this month.

Posted in General, investing, Taxes. Tags: , , , , . 1 Comment »

Happy Thanksgiving and a Quick Market Update

November 26, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

I just wanted to post a quick note to wish you and yours a very Happy Thanksgiving Holiday.  Here’s hoping that you are celebrating it in good health surrounded by family and friends.  Without both, life would be such a drag.

I am thankful for my family and friends, good health and the best clients and readers in the world.  I can’t imagine myself doing anything else that I would enjoy more in life than what I’m doing now.  I hope that you feel the same way about what you do, and if not, I hope you’ll take steps in your life to move closer to the activities that bring you joy and happiness.  It’s really about getting what you need and want out of the day rather than getting through the day.

A Quick Stock Market Update

The last few weeks have been quite volatile in the stock markets, and to be honest with you, it was really all my fault.  Right after I sent out my last newsletter update about the Federal Reserve pumping up the markets, we entered into a long overdue correction (a decline in prices).  As I had mentioned, the markets had gone straight up during September, October and early November, so it was no surprise that a correction was coming. We have swung up and down and sideways without much upside and thankfully without much downside either.

In some cases, I took advantage of this correction to “prune” (sell) certain client positions to lock in profits or avoid losses.  This past Tuesday, a day when everything was trending downward and things looked like they were about to fall apart (a day where about 90% of all asset classes were down) due to the events in Europe and South Korea, I took 95% of our available cash and invested it at the lows of the recent market range.  We were immediately rewarded yesterday as all the markets were up “big” to kick off what I hope to be a great year-end Santa Claus rally.  Seasonally, this period of the year tends to be the strongest for gains in the markets.  While we are technically still in a correction phase, I expect the uptrend to resume soon (but my crystal ball is still in the shop).  Recent economic news has been very positive, some much better than expected, and first time unemployment claims this week surprised nicely to the downside.

I still remain optimistic about a positive finish to the year and the rally continuing into 2011 as the economy recovers.  I believe that this is the best time to be invested in the markets as Uncle Sam has told us that he wants the markets higher. Consider taking advantage of this recent market correction to dip your toes into the market.  I like that most are pessimistic about the markets since that tends to propel them higher.  Yes, we have economic worries, future inflation, high unemployment and a moribund housing market, but those problems didn’t develop overnight, so they won’t be solved overnight either.  We are making progress, and that’s what really counts.

Later in December, I will send out my 2011 market and economic outlook newsletter.  In the meantime, year-end tax planning is in full swing and hopefully you’ve benefitted from my year-end tax planning newsletter and tips.  Remember, if you’re thinking about an IRA to Roth conversion in 2010, you only have about five weeks to complete it.  Don’t hesitate to contact us to discuss whether this option is appropriate for you. I am also available to help with your year-end financial or tax planning.

Enjoy your holiday weekend and please let me know if I can be of any help.  And remember: 50%+ off sales are great, but the best sales are those that save you more than 100% (that is, when you save and invest the money instead..sorry I couldn’t resist).  By the way, I was recently quoted in another online financial story-see the link below about Six Ways to Gift Money to Family.

New: 6 Ways To Gift Money to Family http://bit.ly/aDG90W

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA is president of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a registered investment advisor. Sam is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP®), Certified Public Accountant and registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA) fee-only financial planner group.  Sam has expertise in many areas of personal finance and wealth management and has always been fascinated with the role of money in society.  Helping others prosper and succeed has been Sam’s mission since he decided to dedicate his life to financial planning.  He specializes in entrepreneurs, professionals, company executives and their families.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable, but we cannot attest to its accuracy.  Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment advisors before making any investment decisions.  Opinions expressed in this writing by Sam H. Fawaz are his own, may change without prior notice and should not be relied upon as a basis for making investment or planning decisions.  No person can accurately forecast or call a market top or bottom, so forward looking statements should be discounted and not relied upon as a basis for investing or trading decisions. This message was authored by Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP and is provided by YDream Financial Services, Inc.

Posted in General, investing, markets, retirement. Tags: , , , . Leave a Comment »

What’s Going on in the Markets?

November 8, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

What a great couple of weeks it has been in the stock markets! We just had the mid-term elections, an important Federal Reserve Meeting and the October 2010 monthly jobs report.  Most were expecting this past week to be one where the markets took a breather and pulled back a bit. Instead, the markets powered higher to levels not seen since 2008 and better than our April 2010 highs.  The NASDAQ market is up by double digits for the year and the DJIA and S&P500 indexes are near double digits.  With the announced quantitative easing (QE2) by the Federal Reserve this week (simply translated, the government is going to print more money to avoid deflation), more funds will find their way to the stock markets.  Therefore I believe that the markets are headed higher over the next 6-12 months (obviously, my crystal ball may be broken, but Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke came out and said that higher stock markets is one of his main objectives to stimulate spending and the economy.) Please read more about that below.  If you read nothing else in this message, please at least read “The Bottom Line” below.

 

Quantitative Easing 2-It’s HUGE!

With inflation at historic lows and prices at risk of descending into deflation, Dr. Bernanke is determined to avoid Japan’s lost two decades due to inaction to stimulate inflation.  In an environment of deflation (falling prices), spending stagnates because no one buys anything because they expect prices to be lower in the future.  So yes, I said it: Dr. Bernanke wants to manufacture inflation, believe it or not. By printing greenbacks ($$$), we increase the money supply, cause the dollar to fall in value (and thereby increase exports), which in turn causes stocks and commodities to rise in price, which causes people to feel better about their investments and retirement plans, which in turn gives them the confidence to spend, which spurs more manufacturing and hiring and so on…you get the picture.  Or at least that’s what he’s expecting and hoping to happen.  This round of quantitative easing has been dubbed QE2 since it’s the second time since the great recession began that we’ve embarked on a similar stimulative program.  This program will add $600 billion of money into the system at the rate of $75 billion for eight months to try and jump start inflation. If this doesn’t work, some analysts think that we should expect QE3 or even QE4, and by then, we may have as much as $2 trillion of money printing when all is said and done.  A trillion here and a trillion there and soon you’re talking about some real money (remember when a billion used to be a huge sum of money?)

 

One impact of the new QE2 program hasn’t received much attention.  That is, it almost guarantees that short-term interest rates will remain near zero for quite some time, perhaps for the next couple of years.  Keep that in mind if you’re one of those people who collectively still have about $3 trillion invested in money-market funds.  Has the memory of 2008 (-37% on the S&P500) kept you from earning +26.5% in 2009 and possibly +15% or so in 2010?  Then Dr. Bernanke’s program is aimed squarely at you to get you to take some risk again.  If you are still scared of the markets, then maybe you should be talking to us.

 

As expected, the value of the U. S. dollar dropped with the announcement of the QE2 program.  Printing lots of money lowers the value of any currency, even the mighty greenback.  On cue with the decline in the dollar, the value of oil, gold, and other commodities increased. The weaker dollar should help to boost American exports, reduce imports, and lessen our trade deficit with the rest of the world.  Obviously, the rest of the world – our major trading partners – aren’t too happy about it.  The risk of a worldwide “currency war” is higher as a result.

 

October Jobs Report-Much Better than Expected

The October 2010 jobs report was very positive and showed growth in jobs of about 151,000 (story below), but an unemployment rate that is still stubbornly high at 9.6%.  This was far higher than the 60,000-90,000 jobs growth expected.  Of course, at this rate it will take several years to get back to where we were in 2007, but this is indeed positive for a recovery that is likely to be disappointingly slow and painful for those who are still unemployed or are at risk of losing their homes.  Nonetheless, I will repeat what I’ve said in the past: many of the 5M+ jobs lost over the past three years are gone and will never be coming back due to technology advances, outsourcing and higher productivity.  Although many would like to see a return to 5-6% unemployment, we may be stuck with 7-8% unemployment as the norm in the future.

 

There have been numerous positive economic reports over the past several weeks that have all but put speculation of a double-dip recession to rest.  As I’ve said several times since the spring and summer, every recovery from a recession as deep as the one we’ve experienced has felt like a jobless one and real estate prices take much longer than expected to recover.  There was one report on CNBC the other day that said that Florida had an 18-year supply of condos on the market, and if you hurry you just might get one, but only if you can pay cash since most lenders are not loaning money against them.  Obviously, the housing market is not coming back any time soon, and talks of 2020 as the soonest timeframe are abound. I personally believe that’s far too pessimistic, and that by 2013, the lower supply of homes (due to low current new home construction rates) will necessitate increased building and help boost prices once again.

 

Year-end Tax Planning & 2010 Roth IRA Conversions

I’ve delayed my year-end tax planning letter this year due to all the uncertainty about what will be happening with the expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts. My expectation is that with President Obama extending an olive branch to the newly Republican controlled House of Representatives, we will see a two-year extension for everyone, not just the poor and middle-class.  The president doesn’t want to be responsible for counter-acting the QE2 program with increased taxes, especially during such a feeble recovery.  Look for my year-end tax planning letter in a week to ten days. For all my financial planning clients, I am making appointments or encouraging you to send in your year-end pay stubs and financial estimates so we can get your tax planning underway before mid-December.  This is a complimentary and year-round service for all our financial planning and money management clients.

 

2010 is the only year that you can convert all or part of your traditional or rollover IRA and spread the resultant income over 2011 and 2012. If you decide to do so and the value of your converted assets goes down by October 15, 2011 (and you’ve extended your 2010 tax return), you can undo the conversion. Beginning in 2011 (and all years thereafter), you can convert your IRA but the two year spread of income is not available to you—you will have to report all conversion income in the year of conversion.  The decision to convert your assets is a very important and complicated one, and should only be undertaken with a detailed analysis of your taxes and finances. Anyone who tells you to convert or not convert without a full evaluation or knowledge of your individual finances and future tax rates is not giving you an informed decision. Please discuss with me or your tax advisor if a Roth conversion in 2010 makes sense for you.

 

The Bottom Line

You may hate what’s happening in Washington, what the Federal Reserve is doing, how high the unemployment rate is, how terrible the housing market is, how much Washington’s spending, how we are debasing our beloved greenback, how inflation is going to be hyperbolic, and how this country is going to heck in a hand-basket.  But if you focus on those things you will miss out on what is likely to be a continuation of the current stock market rally.  The government has told us that it wants the stock market to go higher and you may have heard the expression that “You can’t fight the Fed.”  For the next 6-12 months, perhaps longer, money will find its way into the stock market and surely push prices higher.  Sure there will be bumps along the way, periods of sideways movement, and some corrections, but I believe that the ultimate direction is upward. 

 

We can debate whether the government will be successful in its objectives, but that won’t increase the value of your investments, IRA or 401(k).  If you are on the sidelines, or are considering investing money in the markets, I urge you to talk to a planner or advisor who can help you sooner rather than later.  It’s not often that the government tells you that it will help and actually does help you make money on your investments.  I believe that we’ll look back on this time period in hindsight and realize what an great investment opportunity it was.

Of course, my prognostication would not be complete without a proper disclaimer: my crystal ball is in the shop, so any forward looking statements I make should be discounted and evaluated in the context of your own financial plan and should be discussed with your financial planner.  As we all know, anything can happen and usually does to trip up the smart and dumb money in the markets.  But right now, the smart money tells me that the best place to be right now is in high quality equities, bonds and commodities.  If you have money on the sidelines waiting to be invested, you can put it to work now if it’s planned to be invested for the long term (five or more years) or wait for an inevitable short-term market correction to get in.  However, the thing about dips lately is that they’ve been quite shallow and are bought up quickly.  If you’re concerned, you can start slow, invest a little and invest a little more on inevitable corrections.

 

In my role as a fiduciary planner, I will also plainly disclose that encouraging you to invest (more) money in the stock or bond markets is a direct conflict-of-interest for me (at least for my clients and prospects) since I charge fees based on assets managed.  However, regardless of how or where you invest, I just want to see you participating and getting your share of the government’s current “asset re-inflation program.”

 

In Closing

Finally, as you can no doubt tell, I still haven’t figured out how to be brief in these newsletters. While I’ve tried to explain in as few details as possible what is going on, I’m willing to discuss in depth any of the topics discussed above with you in person or on the phone.  If you or anyone you know is struggling with their financial plans or just deciding to get back into this market, we can help them get back on track.  It is not too late to get in, and this rally, in my opinion, is not even close to being over.  Please call me at (615) 395-2010 or (734) 447-5305, visit my web site or send me an e-mail. I’m happy to help.

 

I’ve included a few links below to stories that I thought you might be interested from the past week. If you have any feedback on this newsletter, its length or the frequency that it is published please let me know.  Have a great and profitable week!

 

Market Update For Week Ending 11/5/2010
Index Close Net Change % Change YTD YTD %
DJIA 11,444.08         +325.59         2.93         +1,016.03         9.74        
NASDAQ 2,578.98         +71.57         2.85         +309.83         13.65        
S&P500 1,225.85         +42.59         3.60         +110.75         9.93        
Russell 2000 736.59         +33.24         4.73         +111.20         17.78        
International 1,671.56         +55.15         3.41         +90.77         5.74        
10-year bond 2.53%        -0.08%          -1.28%          
30-year T-bond 4.12%        +0.12%          -0.57%          
International index is MSCI EAFE index. Bond data reflect net change in yield, not price. Indices are unmanaged and you cannot directly invest in an index. Market Wrap
An unusually eventful week in the global markets left global equity benchmarks surging and Treasury yields mixed. On Wall Street, the growth-sensitive small-cap Russell 2000 fared best among major benchmarks, up 4.73% on the prospect of continued Federal Reserve action to stimulate the U.S. economy. The broad S&P 500 gained 3.6% and the blue-chip Dow industrials surged 2.93%, while the technology-rich NASDAQ added 2.85%. Foreign shares kept pace, up 3.41% in dollar-denominated terms. News that the Federal Reserve will buy up to $600 billion more short-term Treasury securities sent money down the yield curve in the bond markets, pushing 10-year yields down and 30-year yields higher. For more, please read:
http://money.cnn.com/2010/11/05/markets/markets_newyorkGlobal Markets Applaud The Fed
Wednesday’s news that the Federal Reserve had decided to step back into the bond market to buy up to $600 billion in Treasury securities won worldwide applause from stock markets, although the move was controversial in some quarters. Called “quantitative easing,” the bond-buying campaign aims to suppress long-term interest rates by creating a new source of demand for Treasury debt. The hope is that this will both encourage banks to keep lending and drive return-hungry investors into potentially higher-yielding vehicles like stocks. For more on the Fed’s maneuver and varied reactions to it, please read:
http://www.forbes.com/2010/11/04/europe-briefing-fed-markets-equities-600-billio
n-asia.html

Job Report Better Than Expected
The week was so filled with data and announcements that the normally closely watched monthly payrolls report seemed almost like a footnote to some market watchers. Still, news that the U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in October came as a welcome surprise for economists who had expected a much gloomier number. The August and September reports were also revised to reflect apparently better-than-suspected conditions in the job market during those months. For more on the latest economic numbers and what they tell us, please read:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40024584

 

 

Best regards,

Sam

 

Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP®

YDream Financial Services, Inc.

(734) 447-5305

(615) 395-2010

http://www.ydfs.com

 

 

Please check out my January-February 2010 Money Magazine Portfolio Makeover-Can I retire Early? http://bit.ly/5aGwIO

 

Have a small business?  Don’t miss out on these business tax deductions http://bit.ly/a49I1K

 

Follow me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/TheMoneyGeek for relevant personal finance advice and tips on great deals.

 

Read our blog: http://themoneygeek.com

 

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA is president of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a registered investment advisor. Sam is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP®), Certified Public Accountant and registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA) fee-only financial planner group.  Sam has expertise in many areas of personal finance and wealth management and has always been fascinated with the role of money in society.  Helping others prosper and succeed has been Sam’s mission since he decided to dedicate his life to financial planning.  He specializes in entrepreneurs, professionals, company executives and their families.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable, but we cannot attest to its accuracy.  Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment advisors before making any investment decisions.  Opinions expressed in this writing by Sam H. Fawaz are his own, may change without prior notice and should not be relied upon as a basis for making investment or planning decisions.  No person can accurately forecast or call a market top or bottom, so forward looking statements should be discounted and not relied upon as a basis for investing or trading decisions. This message was authored by Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP and is provided by YDream Financial Services, Inc.

Posted in General. 1 Comment »

What’s Going On With Gold Part 2

July 5, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

Back on November 18, 2009, I wrote for the first time about what’s going on with gold as an investment.  Since that date, gold has appreciated 8.4% while the S&P 500 index (a proxy for stocks) has declined 7.1%.  All indications are that the price of gold will continue to rise.

To date, I have personally not been able to bring myself to invest any of my own money in gold, and I remain a bit skeptical of it as an investable asset class.  However, as I’ve said before, I cannot ignore the fact that the uptrend that started in March 2009 has continued and has every indication that it will continue until the trend is broken.

In the past, the price of gold has appreciated while inflation was a threat or was marching upward (an inflation hedge.)  The price of gold usually continues to increase up until the point when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates enough to no longer make gold an attractive alternative; that is, until the actual interest rate paid on money market funds is something greater than the current 0.01%.  But today, we are facing the opposite environment: a potential deflationary environment in light of high unemployment, plenty of available factory capacity and low consumer demand.  Gold is not supposed to go up in this type of environment, but with governments around the world running sky high deficits and debasing their currencies (through either printing money or deficit spending), gold seems to have become a de facto currency in of itself.  Several legendary hedge fund managers and institutional investors have invested significant sums of money in gold and countries and central banks around the world continue to accumulate it.

Here’s what a fellow trusted investment writer and money manager Jon D. Markman wrote about a recent Credit Suisse report on gold:

Investment banker Credit Suisse (CS) recently increased its long-range forecast, arguing in a new report that gold should remain near current levels for at least the next four years. CS analysts’ 2014 target is now $1,300, vs. their previous forecast of $1,120, as investors have become more supportive of the yellow metal.  That may not seem like a very brave forecast since gold is already trading at $1,242, or less than $60 under the long-term forecast, but it’s likely that the estimate will go further up.

The rationale for the change: Credit Suisse believes there is an 80% chance of a renewal of quantitative easing — or money printing — due either to a full-blown sovereign debt crisis or a new recession. This enthusiastic and inflationary activity would rev up the safe haven buying that has pushed gold prices up over the past few years. The feeling is that companies and government officials may cheat and lie, but gold is steady as a rock as an irrefutable, trusted source of value.

Also, the ultra-low interest rate policy of the world’s central banks will keep gold prices on the move. Historically, gold prices tend to rise when short-term interest rates are below 2%. This relationship has been particularly strong over the last few years. With the Fed likely to stay on hold through 2012, and the potential for inflation-adjusted interest rates to move further into negative territory with another round of quantitative easing, there’s little reason to think gold’s run higher will end anytime soon.

Complicating matters has been the decline in new gold production. Global gold production has been falling since 2001 at an average rate of 1.3% per year. Increased demand and less supply equals higher prices. Credit Suisse research in 2003 and 2005 indicated that the decline was being caused by a reduction in exploration targets and exploration efficiency. In other words, it was becoming harder and more expensive to find new untapped sources of gold.

While a number of new projects are about to get started, the long-term picture looks tight. From 2013 onward, CS predicts global production to fall at an annual rate of 2.5%. Gold has always had its allure based on scarcity value. Well folks, it’s about to get a heck of a lot scarcer.

Now gold doesn’t pay any dividends or generate any income, has limited industrial uses, has not kept up with inflation, and garners unfavorable ordinary income tax (not capital gain) treatment outside of retirement accounts.  You’ve probably seen and heard the ads on TV and radio of companies trying to sell you gold coins or buy your unwanted gold jewelry (you can safely ignore them.)  In some countries, you can now buy gold bars from a vending machine, and right here in the “good ole’ U.S. of A”, department stores are hocking gold bars like perfume and cologne.  Normally this would indicate a top in the price of gold, but all evidence to date indicates that the buyers of gold have been mostly institutional, not retail (consumer) buyers.  Of course, like any other investment, gold has the potential to go parabolic and become a bubble (and it likely will), but we’re not there yet.  My worst fear about gold would be to wake up one morning and find out that the price has dropped $200-$400 an ounce overnight.

Fun gold fact: Just last week, a 200 pound Canadian collectible leaf gold coin (face value $1 million) was auctioned off for $4 million at exactly, you guessed it, the spot price of gold at the time of sale. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/europe/10425194.stm

If you are interested in investing in gold, I would look into the price of the SPDR Gold Trust GS (Ticker symbol: GLD) and invest on any weakness like we saw last week, and I would keep it on a “tight leash.”  I would say to invest no more than 2-10% of your investable portfolio in this commodity and be prepared for wide price swings (volatility).  It’s possible to use options to hedge the position to mitigate the risk of a sudden sharp decline or a mass exodus.  With weakness in the price of gold last week, you may be able to take advantage of a good entry price, but this article is by no means a suggestion, recommendation or an advisory to buy gold.  Some believe that the unwinding of Euro currency short interests that were invested in gold may have caused last week’s weakness (i.e., investors bought back borrowed Euro’s with the gold that they sold last week to cover their short interests).

I would appreciate your thoughts, feedback and inclination to invest in this commodity.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA is president of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a registered investment advisor. Sam is a Certified Financial Planner ( CFP ), Certified Public Accountant and registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA) fee-only financial planner group.  Sam has expertise in many areas of personal finance and wealth management and has always been fascinated with the role of money in society.  Helping others prosper and succeed has been Sam’s mission since he decided to dedicate his life to financial planning.  He specializes in entrepreneurs, professionals, company executives and their families.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable, but we cannot attest to its accuracy.  Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment advisors before making any investment decisions.  Opinions expressed in this writing by Sam H. Fawaz are his own, may change without prior notice and should not be relied upon as a basis for making investment or planning decisions.  No person can accurately forecast or call a market top or bottom, so forward looking statements should be discounted and not relied upon as a basis for investing or trading decisions.
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Feel Like Un-Retiring? Here’s How to Prepare

June 8, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

Last October, the MetLife Mature Market Institute released a study that said the over-55 workforce will account for almost 93 percent of the net increase in the U.S. civilian labor force between 2006 and 2016.  At the same time, MetLife reported that many American workers plan to stay on the job at least until age 69.

The Pew Research Center’s Social & Demographic Trends Project echoed those findings in May 2009, saying that just over half of all working adults aged 50-65 plan to delay their retirement, with 16 percent saying they never plan to stop working.   The issue, says the Pew study, is not about what these Americans earn, but how much they lost during the investment meltdown and the worst economic downturn in more than 70 years.

Add all these factors together and you have one of the most interesting labor situations for older Americans ever.  That’s why that for every retiree or potential retiree who feels they need to return or stay on the job, it’s particularly important to review investment, insurance and tax issues.  It therefore makes sense to meet to discuss these areas with a financial advisor such as a fee-only Certified Financial Planner™ professional.

Here are some critical points to address:

How are your skills? This is a valid point for current and potential retirees. The best job candidates are those with current skills in technology and procedures specific to an industry, so staying in the workforce may mean retraining.  If there’s a way to get an employer to pay, then you should take advantage of it.  But if you have to pay for your own education, then you really need to weigh whether your earnings will justify it unless you enjoy the area of education or going back to school.

Be realistic about your demographic in the workplace: While age discrimination is illegal, there are some workplace cultures where older workers frankly seem out of place.  You have to ask whether you are going to be happy staying in a field that’s populated by younger workers with different interests or whether you might try another line of work.

Consider how a return to the workplace will affect you personally and socially: If you’re 40, 50 or 60, working right now probably feels like breathing – when have you not worked?  But it may not be the best option after a year or two out of the workplace.

Consider health insurance issues: If a retiree returning to the workforce is already receiving Medicare or is covered by a “Medigap” policy, they may be able to lower their costs or improve their coverage by accepting group coverage as primary underwriter of their medical expenses.  Since people over age 55 are generally the greatest users of the health care system, coverage issues are particularly important to run by a financial planner.

Know your tax picture: Tax issues shouldn’t determine your ambitions and goals, but it’s important to consider the impact full or part-time income will have on your finances.  Most retirees realize that it doesn’t take much income to knock them into a higher bracket.  Look for ways to control the taxes you’ll ultimately pay, including continued participation in qualified plans, IRAs, and other tax-favored accumulation vehicles and using annuity income to fill the gap between the beginning of the “post-retirement” period and the age when full Social Security benefits can be drawn without an offset for employment income.  Additional work income may affect the amount of taxable social security income you’re receiving, so be sure to take that into account.

Consider what earnings will do to all your retirement payments: If you are planning to continue working or returning to work, consider not only the tax impact, but also how that might change the way you plan to draw on your retirement savings and investments as well as Social Security.  If you are planning to work, it’s important you consider suspending or delaying receipt of those benefits for as long as you can.

Look for work-related incentives: Particularly for public sector workers, there are opportunities to return to state employment and actually augment existing pensions.  Keep an eye out for these programs and see if they work for you.

Keep saving: If you return to the workplace, see what you can do to take advantage of your new employer’s 401(k) plan or any other tax-advantaged retirement savings benefit, particularly if an employer matches your contribution.  Don’t miss a chance to enhance your retirement savings.

Returning to the workforce after retiring can be immensely rewarding both professionally and personally.  If you’ve un-retired yourself, please feel free to post your comments or additional insights about your experience.

This article was produced by the Financial Planning Association (FPA), the membership organization for the financial planning community, and is provided by Sam H. Fawaz and YDream Financial Services, a local member of FPA and a fee-only member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors.
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Market Update for May 20 2010

May 20, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

Today marked the 9th day out of the last twelve where the market sold off in a clear message that world governments need to get their acts together and control their fiscal, spending and regulatory policies.  With the Euro currency at historic lows, demonstrations in Greece, an environmental offshore oil catastrophe, German bans on naked short selling, higher than expected weekly job claims, and financial regulatory reform debates going on, we’ve had the perfect storm to extend this market correction.  Stock markets don’t like uncertainty and wishy-washy policy making, so they express their dismay by selling off risky assets.  As of today, the major indices have given back all their 2010 year-to-date gains and then some.  Nonetheless, the long term stock market uptrend remains intact, though as I’ve indicated before (May 6), we’re in for some bumpy times in the market for the summer.

I wish I could say that my crystal ball knew when this short-term pain to the downside would be over.  However, all technical indications is that this move downward is a bit overdone, though admittedly the move to the upside was also overdone in the short-term.  I believe that we’ll see a short or intermediate-term bounce in the next couple of days as value investors and bargain hunters swarm the markets.   We will do the same as the waters calm down.

Indications from Washington are that we may get a vote on the financial reform bill (being debated) tonight and perhaps remove some of the uncertainty in the markets.  I’m not sure what the Obama Administration will tackle next (immigration reform, tax reform, ban on sovereign bailouts, take your pick), but you can bet that it will also rattle the markets when it gets underway.  The European Union appears to be working on a few measures to further restore confidence to the markets and those measures may come to light over the weekend or early next week.  Longer term, we will have to contend with overseas currency and economic weakness, further sovereign debt issues, huge budget deficits, and a stubbornly high unemployment rate.  For the time being though, we have an improving fundamental economic picture, ultra low interest rates, excellent corporate earnings, and plenty of unspent stimulus to keep the market uptrend going for awhile.

Because I felt that it was more likely than not that the majority of the short-term move downward was over today, I decided to lift about 50% of the contra-position hedge that I held on client accounts.  This will allow portfolios to more fully benefit when the uptrend resumes. Leaving 50% of the position “on” allows me to be at least half-right in case there is more downside to come.  This is just prudent hedging.  Should the markets show signs of continuing their downward trend, then it’s just as easy to put the position back on and perhaps add to it.  As of this moment, I see no negative longer term indicators in the markets that tell me that I should be liquidating equity positions and moving to a higher cash position.

Please check out my January-February 2010 Money Magazine Portfolio Makeover-Can I retire Early? http://bit.ly/5aGwIO

Have a small business?  Don’t miss out on these business tax deductions http://bit.ly/a49I1K

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Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA is president of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a registered investment advisor. Sam is a Certified Financial Planner ( CFP ), Certified Public Accountant and registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA) fee-only financial planner group.  Sam has expertise in many areas of personal finance and wealth management and has always been fascinated with the role of money in society.  Helping others prosper and succeed has been Sam’s mission since he decided to dedicate his life to financial planning.  He specializes in entrepreneurs, professionals, company executives and their families.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable, but we cannot attest to its accuracy.  Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment advisors before making any investment decisions.  Opinions expressed in this writing by Sam H. Fawaz are his own, may change without prior notice and should not be relied upon as a basis for making investment or planning decisions.  No person can accurately forecast or call a market top or bottom, so forward looking statements should be discounted and not relied upon as a basis for investing or trading decisions. This message was authored by Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP and is provided by YDream Financial Services, Inc.

My no-nonsense no-spam policy: If you’d prefer not to receive future updates, just reply and let me know by typing “unsubscribe” in the subject (please don’t hit the spam button-it just puts me on a universal spammer’s list which is tough to get off of.)I’ll take you off my list immediately and permanently.  I will never sell, share, rent or give away your e-mail address to anyone.  Period.

Posted in General, investing, markets. Tags: , , , , , , . 1 Comment »

Learning from mistakes: Buying a New Car

April 30, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

The red flags in this story point to a few lessons to heed when buying a new car. (©iStockphoto.com) The red flags in this story point to a few lessons to heed when buying a new car. (©iStockphoto.com)

By Sam H. Fawaz

Anyone who has bought a new car is familiar with the hassles of going to the dealer, finding the right car with the right options, negotiating the deal, and pushing back on all the extras the dealer tries to sell. The last thing you would expect to find out, months after you bought the new car, is that the new car you bought was really a used car.

A family member told me a tale of woe that can serve as a warning for others buying a new car from a dealer. This story began when he stopped at a local Cadillac dealer with a specific request for a 2009 Cadillac CTS with certain options. Though the dealer did not have the car he wanted on-site, they told him that they had located one at a dealer in a neighboring state. While negotiating the deal, he told the salesman that he is a savvy buyer and would not pay the dealer’s document preparation charges or marketing surcharge, which were customary for this dealer to charge. The dealer agreed and the deal was signed. The car would be at the dealer’s lot in a day or two.

When the car arrived, the car buyer went to the dealer to inspect and pick up the car. While inspecting the car and test driving it, he noted that it already had 425 miles logged on the odometer. This seemed odd to the buyer, so he asked the salesperson about this. The salesperson told him that these miles were incurred to transport the car to the dealership and that this was pretty normal.

This was the first red flag for the buyer, though the car was almost exactly as he wanted it and was consistent with the deal he signed. Normally, new cars have less than ten miles registered on the odometer, but driving it from an out-of-state dealer seemed to be a reasonable basis for the number of miles (though elevated) logged on this vehicle.

Back at the dealer, and ready to sign the prepared paperwork, the buyer noted that both the document preparation and marketing charges were added to the purchase price. In addition, a dealer added undercoating treatment had been added to the invoice that was not previously disclosed.

This was red flag number two in the transaction. The salesman explained that all buyers pay these amounts and that they were customary charges. In addition, the dealer option was unknown at the time of negotiation and that they could not delete it. The buyer explained that he told the salesman that he would not pay such charges when he negotiated the deal, and if the dealer didn’t remove them and honor the original deal, he would walk out without the car. The salesman pled with the buyer and told him that they brought the car from out-of state for him and that it wouldn’t be fair if he walked away. The buyer stuck to his guns and walked out. Of course the salesman followed him out the door and told him that those charges would be removed. They were indeed removed.

Signing the final paperwork while the car was being prepped for delivery, the buyer was happy to be getting the car he wanted at the price he had negotiated. As is customary with new car purchases (when you don’t transfer a license plate), he received a temporary license plate for the car and was told that he could pick up the permanent one within a month. The dealer would call him when it was ready.

A month or so went by and the dealer hadn’t called him to pick up his permanent license plate, so the buyer called the dealer. He was told that there were some issues with the paperwork and to come by and pick up a 30-day temporary plate. The buyer did so.

Another month went by and still there was no call from the dealer to pick up the permanent plate. Concerned, the buyer called the dealer and was told that they were still having issues with the registration and to pick up another temporary plate. The dealer could not give him any further information. This process repeated for a few more months, and the buyer continued to make payments on the car even though he still had not received a valid title for the vehicle.

This was red flag number three.

Suspicious that something was amiss here, the buyer made a phone call to the Secretary of State to find out why registration had been delayed. He was told that the vehicle identification number (VIN) of his car was not registered to him and that they therefore could not give him any information about the vehicle. Of the few facts he was able to garner from the representative was that the vehicle was still registered in the name of an out-of-state dealer and that the buyer would not, when a new title was issued, receive a new original vehicle title. In other words, the car had been previously registered to another buyer and he would therefore receive a used car title.

Apparently what had happened is that the out-of-state dealer had itself purchased the vehicle for another potential buyer from yet another out-of-state dealer, and, to bring the car across state lines, had to register the vehicle in the dealer’s name (normally, dealers are not required to title vehicles purchased for resale in their name). However, that deal had fallen through, so the dealer was stuck with this car and kept it in its new car inventory system. This explained why so many miles were already registered on this vehicle even though it was transported from an adjacent state less than 200 miles away. In any case, the buyer had essentially purchased a used car under the guise of a new car purchase.

Needless to say, the buyer was not happy about this. Since he wanted to know his rights, he consulted with an attorney who advised him, that even though he had driven the car for several months, he could essentially drive the car to the dealer, demand a refund of all monies paid (including the payments made to the dealer’s financier) and “walk away” from this purchase. Alternatively, he could demand restitution from the dealer for selling him a used car at a new car price.

The buyer called up the dealer and told them that he pretty much knew what was up with this car and let them know that unless they negotiated a settlement with him, he would turn in the keys and they would once again “own” this car. The dealer inquired about the number of miles on it (about 8,000) and asked the buyer to come down to the dealership to talk. In any case, they had finally procured the plate and he could pick that up as well.

The dealer, needless to say, did not want to have to take this car back into inventory and take a large loss on it. The buyer held most of the cards here, so he asked for a settlement of $8,000 cash to keep the car. The dealer of course, low-balled him an offer which the buyer flatly rejected and let the dealer know in no uncertain terms that they would not want the media to hear about his experience with this purchase if they didn’t deal with him in good faith. In the end, the buyer ended up negotiating a $6,000 cash payment plus a $1,800 bumper repair the car had needed. He walked out with a repaired car and a check that day.

This story obviously ended well for such a savvy buyer, but most people would either not know their rights in these circumstances or would not be aggressive enough to push the dealer to settle on their terms. The red flags in this story point to a few lessons to heed when buying a new car:

1) If the dealer adds new charges to an already negotiated deal at signing, walk away and find a more scrupulous dealer.

2) Always inspect, test drive the car and check the odometer before signing the final paperwork. If the mileage on the odometer is more than 10-20 miles, find out why and ask yourself whether this is indeed a new car. Always match up the VIN on the paperwork to the one on the vehicle itself.

3) If it takes more than six weeks to receive a title or license plate, start digging deeper to find out why. When you receive the title, inspect it closely to ensure that you are getting a new car title (original owner) rather than a used car title.

4) If you find out that a new car you have purchased was actually used, consult with an attorney with experience in this area to find out your rights in your circumstances.

I can’t say how many times this kind of story happens to buyers, but I imagine that many more people would not even be aware that this type of thing goes on. Even a savvy buyer as I have described didn’t quite catch on at the time of purchase, so I imagine less experienced buyers would never suspect anything either.

Hopefully, this tale will help you avoid being a victim of this kind of transaction and you’ll be able to assert your rights. While the majority of new car dealers are honest and straightforward, this demonstrates that some clearly can be somewhat shady, even those we think have a pristine reputation.

Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP® (a.k.a. TheMoneyGeek) is a fee-only personal financial planner and a registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors. He has been working in personal finance since 1980 and has been writing about it since 1999. Sam’s website is http://ydfs.com.

Posted in Consumer Alert, General, Smart Buying. Tags: , , , , . 1 Comment »

Market Update-Week Ended March 27, 2010

March 28, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

The stock markets have been enjoying several weeks of continued gains after a market correction that ended around mid-February.  Corporate earnings have been stellar, mostly on a net income basis, but many have also enjoyed sales growth as well, albeit from a low (2009) base.

We’ve had stock market indices that have run up to 18 month highs and we came within 100 points of 11,000 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average this week.  Down days in the market have been only very mildly down as investors enjoy more confidence that the economy is slowly improving and that the possibility of a double-dip recession this year is nil.  This has all happened despite bad news from Europe relating to Greece’s possible default on their sovereign debt, Fitch’s downgrade of Portugal’s sovereign debt, passage of “Obama Care”, poor sales of U.S. Treasury bills, record federal deficits, and still dismal (though improving) unemployment figures.  The news that a South Korean Navy ship experienced an explosion yesterday barely made the markets blink.  High inflation is currently nowhere in sight, though it’s a certainty that it will be here before we know it.

With any long string of stock market gains (with only minor down days) comes the inevitable correction in the market. During the latter part of this week, days that were up for the most part suffered downside reversals and profit-taking towards the end of the day.  This could be a sign of another correction coming (perhaps in the range of 5-10%), portfolio managers adjusting their quarter-end books, or just traders preparing for a week or so off for the Easter holiday.  Dwindling stock market volume certainly would indicate that many are planning some time off.  A correction would be healthy for the market, and would give those still sitting on the sidelines or mostly invested in bonds an opportunity to jump back into the stock market at a lower price.  Stories are abound about $3 trillion still on the sidelines in money market accounts earning less than 1-2% interest or invested in low-risk short-term bond funds.  I personally still believe that we will enjoy returns this year in the low to mid-teens while gross domestic product (GDP) growth will be in the 3-4% range, which is historically low.

Next Friday April 2nd, while the stock markets are closed (the bond markets are open), unemployment figures for March 2010 will be reported and they’re expected to show actual job growth for the first time since early to mid-2008.  The boost will be partially attributable to the hiring of census workers, though employers, who are enjoying record productivity levels, have been increasingly hiring temporary workers and will have no choice but to make permanent hires soon, as the existing workforce grows exhausted from one person doing the work previously done by two people.  Even General Motors announced this week that it is recalling 700 workers to its plant in Ontario Canada and plans to hire 60-70 new workers.  The employment trend is definitely in the up direction, but the speed is still at a snail’s pace.  For the unemployed, the pace is understandably far too slow.

For those taking some time off for spring break and the Easter holiday week (post or pre), I hope you enjoy your time off and have good weather wherever you go.   To all who have to work, enjoy a great holiday nonetheless.

I welcome your comments and feedback. If you have any questions, please feel free to get in touch with me and be sure to share this post with your friends and colleagues.  And please be sure to let them know about me if you think that they might benefit from my services.  As a CFP® and NAPFA registered investment advisor, we have a fiduciary responsibility to always put your interest ahead of ours and avoid conflicts of interest.  Most brokers and advisors cannot say this nor do they adhere to this very high standard of care.

A summary of the week’s market results :

Market Update For Week Ending 3/26/2010

Index Close Net Change % Change YTD YTD %
DJIA 10,850.36 +108.38 1.01 +422.31 4.05
NASDAQ 2,395.13 +20.72 0.87 +125.98 5.55
S&P500 1,166.59 +6.69 0.58 +51.49 4.62
Russell 2000 678.97 +5.08 0.75 +53.58 8.57
International 1,572.26 +0.17 0.01 -8.53 -0.54
10-year bond 3.86% +0.17% +0.05%
30-year T-bond 4.75% +0.17% +0.06%

International index is MSCI EAFE index. Bond data reflect net change in yield, not price. Indices are unmanaged and you cannot directly invest in an index.

Sam H. Fawaz CFP®, CPA is president of YDream Financial Services, Inc., a registered investment advisor. Sam is a Certified Financial Planner ( CFP ), Certified Public Accountant and registered member of the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA) fee-only financial planner group.  Sam has expertise in many areas of personal finance and wealth management and has always been fascinated with the role of money in society.  Helping others prosper and succeed has been Sam’s mission since he decided to dedicate his life to financial planning.  He specializes in entrepreneurs, professionals, company executives and their families.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable, but we cannot attest to its accuracy.  Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with their investment advisors before making any investment decisions.  Opinions expressed in this writing by Sam H. Fawaz are his own, may change without prior notice and should not be relied upon as a basis for making investment or planning decisions.  No person can accurately forecast or call a market top or bottom, so forward looking statements should be discounted and not relied upon as a basis for investing or trading decisions. This message was authored by Sam H. Fawaz CPA, CFP and is provided by YDream Financial Services, Inc.

Posted in General, investing, markets. Tags: , , . Leave a Comment »

Portfolio Makeover: Can I Retire Early?

January 17, 2010 — Sam H. Fawaz

Money Magazine recently approached me to perform an investment portfolio makeover for a couple in the Metro Detroit area, Kevin and Janice Ford.  The article, written by Money Magazine Senior Writer Donna Rosato, was published in the January-February 2010 double-issue.  The Roasato’s met with me recently and we put together a financial plan and asset allocation.  Here’s an intro to the article and a link to the full one:

(Money Magazine) — Kevin Ford has worked as an engineer in the Detroit auto industry for more than three decades – currently for the car company that best suits his name. His wife, Janice, is also a veteran of the field, a fellow engineer who even ran her own dealership for a few years before leaving the industry in 2005 to do part-time business development consulting.

Kevin hoped to follow her into retirement at age 55, and two years ago that seemed doable. The family had nearly $1 million saved, plus a hefty pension; they had no debt besides a $300,000 mortgage; their son, Darrell, was out of college and daughter, Kimberly, would be done in 2011.

To continue reading, please click here http://bit.ly/5aGwIO.

Posted in General, investing, markets, retirement, Taxes. Tags: , , , , . 3 Comments »
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